Elina Svitolina vs Maria Sakkari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/04/2025 at 09:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
73%61%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (31/51)64% (25/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (10/19)32% (8/25)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
36% (14/39)39% (20/51)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (17/25)47% (9/19)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
59% (41/70)52% (33/64)
Return Points Won
48% (31/64)41% (29/70)
Total Points Won
54% (72/134)46% (62/134)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Elina Svitolina
65.9%
Maria Sakkari
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Maria Sakkari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elina Svitolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elina Svitolina - Maria Sakkari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.38)

    2.8
    (2.71)
    4.9%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Elina Svitolina - Maria Sakkari?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Svitolina will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Sakkari will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 57.1%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 3 - 60%). Sakkari (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Sakkari (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 Games - Svitolina (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -3.5 Games - Svitolina (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Svitolina (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Svitolina (votes: 7 - 70%). Sakkari (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Svitolina is ranked WTA: 17. Sakkari is ranked WTA: 82.
    • Svitolina in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Sakkari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sakkari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Svitolina is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Svitolina to win the game is with odds 1.4.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Svitolina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).
    Latest results of Elina Svitolina
    Latest results of Maria Sakkari
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.1 : 2
    11Noskova L. (WO.) (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)2 : 1
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.
    5Kostyuk M. (26)McNally C.
    6Noskova L. (13)Gauff C. (3)
    7Sierra S.Pliskova Ka.
    8Potapova A.Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2