Elise Mertens vs Anna Kalinskaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/07/2025 at 16:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
5	3
Double Faults
5	11
1st Serve Percentage
49%	54%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (28/42)	59% (33/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (19/44)	40% (19/47)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)	56% (9/16)
1st Return Points Won
41% (23/56)	33% (14/42)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (28/47)	57% (25/44)
Break Points Converted
44% (7/16)	60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
55% (47/86)	50% (53/105)
Return Points Won
50% (52/105)	45% (39/86)
Total Points Won
52% (99/191)	48% (92/191)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
54% (7/13)	50% (7/14)
Return Games Won
50% (7/14)	46% (6/13)
Total Games Won
52% (14/27)	48% (13/27)

Chances of winning

Elise Mertens
69.3%

Anna Kalinskaya
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Anna Kalinskaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anna Kalinskaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anna Kalinskaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.69)		3.35 ↑ (2)	-0.8% (9.2%)

What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mertens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Mertens is ranked WTA: 22. Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 31.
In recent matches, Mertens has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kalinskaya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Kalinskaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Anna Kalinskaya?

Elise Mertens has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Anna Kalinskaya won against Elise Mertens?

Anna Kalinskaya has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya were as follows:

12.05.2023 Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya 1:2

19.10.2022 Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya 1:2

Latest results of Elise Mertens

06.07.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens 2:0 ✺

04.07.2025 Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina 2:0 ✺

02.07.2025 Elise Mertens - Ann Li 2:1 ✺

30.06.2025 Elise Mertens - Linda Fruhvirtova 2:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Elina Svitolina - Elise Mertens 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Anna Kalinskaya

29.07.2025 Ann Li - Anna Kalinskaya 1:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Leylah Annie Fernandez - Anna Kalinskaya 2:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Anna Kalinskaya - Emma Raducanu 2:0 ✺

25.07.2025 Anna Kalinskaya - Clara Tauson 2:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Magda Linette - Anna Kalinskaya 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Gauff C. (1)	Bye
2	Collins D.	Tomova V. (Q)	2 : 0
3	Bucsa C. (Q)	Kudermetova V.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Danilovic O. (29)
5	Kenin S. (23)	Bye
6	Birrell K.	Mboko V. (WC)	0 : 2
7	Uchijima M.	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Shnaider D. (14)
9	Alexandrova E. (12)	Bye
10	Zhu L.	Gracheva V. (Q)	2 : 0
11	Lamens S.	Kudermetova P.	2 : 1
12	Bye	Haddad Maia B. (18)
13	Krueger A. (26)	Bye
14	Chirico L. (Q)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	1 : 2
15	Volynets K. (Q)	Ito A. (Q)	1 : 2
16	Bye	Paolini J. (7)
17	Andreeva M. (4)	Bye
18	Andreescu B. (WC)	Krejcikova B.	2 : 0
19	Joint M.	Fernandez L.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Kessler M. (28)
21	Kostyuk M. (24)	Bye
22	Vondrousova M.	Eala A.	2 : 1
23	Dolehide C.	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Kasatkina D. (15)
25	Rybakina E. (9)	Bye
26	Osuigwe W. (Q)	Baptiste H.	0 : 2
27	Cristian J.	Stakusic M. (WC)	2 : 1
28	Bye	Noskova L. (20)
29	Yastremska D. (30)	Bye
30	Pera B. (Q)	Osorio C.	0 : 2
31	Jacquemot E. (Q)	Marino R. (WC)	0 : 2
32	Bye	Navarro E. (8)
33	Anisimova A. (5)	Bye
34	Cirstea S.	Sun L.	0 : 2
35	Ruse G.	Raducanu E.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Stearns P. (32)
37	Mertens E. (19)	Bye
38	Li A.	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
39	Rakhimova K. (Q)	Cross K.	2 : 1
40	Bye	Svitolina E. (10)
41	Samsonova L. (13)	Bye
42	Arseneault A. (Q)	Osaka N.	0 : 2
43	Boulter K.	Zarazua R.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Ostapenko J. (22)
45	Linette M. (25)	Bye
46	Tomljanovic A.	Sevastova A.	1 : 2
47	Sakkari M.	Branstine C. (WC)	2 : 1
48	Bye	Pegula J. (3)
49	Keys M. (6)	Bye
50	Maria T.	Siegemund L. (Q)	1 : 2
51	Parks A.	McNally C.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Sramkova R. (31)
53	Bencic B. (17)	Bye
54	Bouchard E. (WC)	Arango E.	2 : 1
55	Ruzic A. (Q)	Potapova A.	2 : 1
56	Bye	Muchova K. (11)
57	Tauson C. (16)	Bye
58	Mandlik E. (WC)	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
59	Wang Y. (Q)	Starodubtseva Y.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Frech M. (21)
61	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Bye
62	Lys E.	Jeanjean L. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Putintseva Y.	Guo H. (Q)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Gauff C. (1)	Collins D.	2 : 1
2	Kudermetova V.	Danilovic O. (29)	2 : 0
3	Kenin S. (23)	Mboko V.	0 : 2
4	Bouzkova M.	Shnaider D. (14)	2 : 0
5	Alexandrova E. (12)	Zhu L.	1 : 2
6	Lamens S.	Haddad Maia B. (18)	2 : 1
7	Krueger A. (26)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
8	Ito A.	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 1
9	Andreeva M. (WO.) (4)	Andreescu B.
10	Joint M.	Kessler M. (28)	1 : 2
11	Kostyuk M. (24)	Vondrousova M.	2 : 1
12	Blinkova A.	Kasatkina D. (15)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (9)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
14	Cristian J.	Noskova L. (20)	2 : 0
15	Yastremska D. (30)	Osorio C.	2 : 1
16	Marino R.	Navarro E. (8)	0 : 2
17	Anisimova A. (5)	Sun L.	2 : 0
18	Raducanu E.	Stearns P. (32)	2 : 0
19	Mertens E. (19)	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
20	Rakhimova K.	Svitolina E. (10)	0 : 2
21	Samsonova L. (13)	Osaka N.	1 : 2
22	Zarazua R.	Ostapenko J. (22)	1 : 2
23	Linette M. (25)	Sevastova A.	1 : 2
24	Sakkari M.	Pegula J. (3)	0 : 2
25	Keys M. (6)	Siegemund L.	2 : 0
26	McNally C.	Sramkova R. (31)	2 : 0
27	Bencic B. (17)	Bouchard E.	2 : 1
28	Ruzic A.	Muchova K. (11)	0 : 2
29	Tauson C. (16)	Bronzetti L.	2 : 0
30	Starodubtseva Y.	Frech M. (21)	2 : 0
31	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Lys E.	0 : 2
32	Guo H.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Gauff C. (1)	Kudermetova V.	2 : 1
2	Mboko V.	Bouzkova M.	2 : 1
3	Zhu L.	Lamens S.	2 : 0
4	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Ito A.	2 : 1
5	Andreeva M. (4)	Kessler M. (28)	0 : 2
6	Kostyuk M. (24)	Kasatkina D. (15)	2 : 1
7	Rybakina E. (9)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
8	Yastremska D. (30)	Navarro E. (8)	2 : 0
9	Anisimova A. (5)	Raducanu E.	2 : 0
10	Kalinskaya A.	Svitolina E. (10)	0 : 2
11	Osaka N.	Ostapenko J. (22)	2 : 0
12	Sevastova A.	Pegula J. (3)	2 : 1
13	Keys M. (6)	McNally C.	2 : 1
14	Bencic B. (17)	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
15	Tauson C. (16)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
16	Lys E.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Gauff C. (1)	Mboko V.
2	Zhu L.	Bouzas Maneiro J.
3	Kessler M. (28)	Kostyuk M. (24)
4	Rybakina E. (9)	Yastremska D. (30)
5	Anisimova A. (5)	Svitolina E. (10)
6	Osaka N.	Sevastova A.
7	Keys M. (6)	Muchova K. (11)
8	Tauson C. (16)	Swiatek I. (2)

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2