Result
2:0
10/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 55% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (29/44) | 47% (16/34) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 39% (11/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 33% (3/9) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 34% (15/44) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 57% (12/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 40% (2/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (37/64) | 44% (27/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (35/62) | 42% (27/64) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (72/126) | 43% (54/126) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 25% (2/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 25% (2/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 25% (4/16) |
Chances of winning
Darya Kasatkina
26% | Elise Mertens
74% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elise Mertens's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+15.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elise Mertens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(2.46) |
|
1.29 ↓
(1.5) |
5.1%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Mertens will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 71.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elise Mertens will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 61. Mertens is ranked WTA: 22.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 4.
- In recent matches, Kasatkina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mertens is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kasatkina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mertens is the team to beat.
- We predict that Mertens will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Elise Mertens?
Darya Kasatkina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Darya Kasatkina?
Elise Mertens has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens were as follows:
08.08.2023
Elise Mertens
-
Darya Kasatkina
0:2
31.07.2023
Elise Mertens
-
Darya Kasatkina
0:2
23.03.2023
Elise Mertens
-
Darya Kasatkina
2:1
Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
Latest results of Elise Mertens
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Swiatek I. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Tjen J. (WC) | Haddad Maia B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kasatkina D. | Uchijima M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Mertens E. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Noskova L. (9) | Joint M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Siegemund L. | Gracheva V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Sakkari M. | Sonmez Z. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Paolini J. (6) | |
| 9 | Anisimova A. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Sierra S. (LL) | Pliskova Ka. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Eala A. | Valentova T. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Cristian J. | Muchova K. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Navarro E. (12) | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kalinskaya A. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Yastremska D. | Bucsa C. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Svitolina E. (7) | |
| 17 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Bye | |
| 18 | Zakharova A. (Q) | Ostapenko J. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Raducanu E. (RET.) | Osorio C. (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 20 | Siniakova K. | Tauson C. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Samsonova L. (13) | Frech M. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Li A. | Fernandez L. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Cocciaretto E. (LL) | Jacquemot E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Gauff C. (4) | |
| 25 | Andreeva M. (5) | Bye | |
| 26 | Kartal S. (Q) | Linette M. | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Stearns P. (WC) | Zvonareva V. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Bouzkova M. | Mboko V. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Shnaider D. (15) | Parks A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Zheng Q. | Kenin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Wang Xin. | Arango E. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Rybakina E. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Swiatek I. (1) | Tjen J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kasatkina D. | Mertens E. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Noskova L. (9) | Gracheva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Sakkari M. | Paolini J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Anisimova A. (RET.) (3) | Pliskova Ka. | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Valentova T. | Muchova K. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Navarro E. (12) | Kalinskaya A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Yastremska D. | Svitolina E. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Osorio C. | Siniakova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Frech M. | Li A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Cocciaretto E. | Gauff C. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Andreeva M. (5) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Zvonareva V. | Mboko V. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Parks A. | Zheng Q. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Wang Xin. | Rybakina E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Swiatek I. (1) | Kasatkina D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Gracheva V. | Sakkari M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pliskova Ka. (RET.) | Muchova K. (14) | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Kalinskaya A. | Svitolina E. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ostapenko J. | Osorio C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Li A. | Cocciaretto E. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Andreeva M. (5) | Mboko V. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Zheng Q. | Rybakina E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Swiatek I. (1) | Sakkari M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Muchova K. (14) | Kalinskaya A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ostapenko J. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Mboko V. (10) | Rybakina E. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sakkari M. | Muchova K. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ostapenko J. | Mboko V. (10) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Muchova K. (14) | Mboko V. (10) | 2 : 0 |
