Result
2:1
21/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Monterrey, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (53/80) | 65% (49/75) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (19/43) | 51% (21/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (27/75) | 38% (30/80) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 56% (24/43) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 42% (5/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (72/124) | 60% (70/116) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (46/116) | 42% (52/124) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (118/240) | 51% (122/240) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 81% (13/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 29% (5/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (15/33) | 55% (18/33) |
Chances of winning
Diana Shnaider
41.9% | Elise Mertens
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diana Shnaider's form might have worsened.Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elise Mertens's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elise Mertens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.78) |
|
1.66 ↓
(1.97) |
4.7%
(6.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Shnaider will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Mertens will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 2 - 50%). Mertens (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Shnaider is ranked WTA: 22. Mertens is ranked WTA: 21.
- Recent form of Shnaider has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mertens has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shnaider won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Diana Shnaider won against Elise Mertens?
Diana Shnaider has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Diana Shnaider?
Elise Mertens has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens were as follows:
12.05.2025
Diana Shnaider
-
Elise Mertens
2:0
16.04.2025
Elise Mertens
-
Diana Shnaider
2:0
28.02.2023
Elise Mertens
-
Diana Shnaider
2:0
Latest results of Diana Shnaider
Latest results of Elise Mertens
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Navarro E. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bucsa C. (Q) | Parks A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Sramkova R. | Rodriguez V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cristian J. | Fernandez L. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Shnaider D. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Rakhimova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Sakkari M. (WC) | Vekic D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Blinkova A. | Mertens E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (8) | Ruzic A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Jeanjean L. (Q) | Cocciaretto E. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Bouzkova M. | Sonmez Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Haddad Maia B. (4) | |
| 13 | Noskova L. (6) | Sun L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bondar A. | Maria T. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Zarazua R. | Tomljanovic A. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Alexandrova E. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Navarro E. (1) | Parks A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Sramkova R. | Fernandez L. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Shnaider D. (3) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vekic D. | Mertens E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ruzic A. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bouzkova M. | Haddad Maia B. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Noskova L. (6) | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Tomljanovic A. | Alexandrova E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Parks A. | Sramkova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shnaider D. (3) | Mertens E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ruzic A. | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Noskova L. (6) | Alexandrova E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Parks A. | Shnaider D. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Bouzkova M. (RET.) | Alexandrova E. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Shnaider D. (3) | Alexandrova E. (2) | 2 : 1 |
