Diana Shnaider vs Elise Mertens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
1	2
Double Faults
1	5
1st Serve Percentage
68%	60%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (30/42)	78% (21/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
60% (12/20)	28% (5/18)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)	50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
22% (6/27)	29% (12/42)
2nd Return Points Won
72% (13/18)	40% (8/20)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)	0% (0/5)
Service Points Won
68% (43/63)	58% (26/45)
Return Points Won
42% (19/45)	32% (20/63)
Total Points Won
57% (62/108)	43% (46/108)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)	63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)	0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)	29% (5/17)

Chances of winning

Diana Shnaider
53.6%

Elise Mertens
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.71)		2.06 ↑ (1.96)	4.9% (9.5%)

What is the prediction for Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shnaider will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Mertens will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 47.5% – 89.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 3 - 60%). Mertens (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Shnaider is ranked WTA: 11. Mertens is ranked WTA: 24.
Shnaider is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mertens has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shnaider won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Diana Shnaider won against Elise Mertens?

Diana Shnaider has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Diana Shnaider?

Elise Mertens has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens were as follows:

16.04.2025 Elise Mertens - Diana Shnaider 2:0

28.02.2023 Elise Mertens - Diana Shnaider 2:0

Latest results of Diana Shnaider

10.05.2025 Diana Shnaider - Jaqueline Adina Cristian 2:0 ✺

08.05.2025 Diana Shnaider - Caroline Dolehide 2:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Diana Shnaider - Iga Swiatek 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Diana Shnaider - Anastasija Sevastova 2:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Diana Shnaider - Katie Volynets 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Elise Mertens

10.05.2025 Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula 2:0 ✺

08.05.2025 Elise Mertens - Suzan Lamens 2:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens 2:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Elise Mertens 0:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Yastremska D.	Potapova A.	1 : 2
3	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Boulter K.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Kenin S. (31)
5	Fernandez L. (24)	Bye
6	Ruzic A. (Q)	Grant T. C. (WC)	2 : 1
7	Eala A.	Kostyuk M.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Kasatkina D. (14)
9	Rybakina E. (11)	Bye
10	Uchijima M.	Lys E.	0 : 2
11	Andreescu B.	Urgesi F. (WC)	2 : 0
12	Bye	Vekic D. (20)
13	Frech M. (26)	Bye
14	Azarenka V.	Osorio C.	2 : 0
15	Siniakova K.	Danilovic O.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Zheng Q. (8)
17	Gauff C. (4)	Bye
18	Zucchini A. (WC)	Mboko V. (Q)	0 : 2
19	Sakkari M. (Q)	Bencic B. (RET.)	1 : 0
20	Bye	Linette M. (32)
21	Teichmann J. (LL)	Bye
22	Joint M. (Q)	Raducanu E.	1 : 2
23	Stefanini L. (WC)	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Anisimova A. (15)
25	Navarro E. (10)	Bye
26	Rakhimova K. (LL)	Wang Xin.	2 : 0
27	Volynets K. (Q)	Rus A. (Q)	2 : 0
28	Bye	Tauson C. (22)
29	Noskova L. (30)	Bye
30	Birrell K.	Kartal S.	1 : 2
31	Arango E. (Q)	Tomova V.	2 : 1
32	Bye	Andreeva M. (7)
33	Paolini J. (6)	Bye
34	Pedone G. (WC)	Sun L.	1 : 2
35	Kvitova P.	Begu I.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Jabeur O. (27)
37	Ostapenko J. (17)	Bye
38	Sramkova R.	Kessler M.	2 : 0
39	Bronzetti L.	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Siegemund L. (LL)
41	Shnaider D. (13)	Bye
42	Dolehide C.	Gadecki O. (LL)	2 : 1
43	Parks A.	Cristian J.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Putintseva Y. (23)
45	Mertens E. (25)	Bye
46	Lamens S.	Zarazua R.	2 : 1
47	Krueger A.	Bondar A. (Q)	2 : 1
48	Bye	Pegula J. (3)
49	Keys M. (5)	Bye
50	Gracheva V.	Tomljanovic A. (Q)	2 : 0
51	Stearns P.	Brancaccio N. (WC)	2 : 0
52	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (28)
53	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Bye
54	Bouzkova M.	Sherif M.	2 : 0
55	Errani S. (WC)	Osaka N.	0 : 2
56	Bye	Golubic V. (LL)
57	Svitolina E. (16)	Bye
58	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Li A.	2 : 1
59	Baptiste H. (Q)	Blinkova A. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Samsonova L. (19)
61	Collins D. (29)	Bye
62	Ruse G. (Q)	Kudermetova P.	2 : 1
63	Cocciaretto E. (WC)	Avanesyan E.	2 : 1
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Potapova A.	2 : 0
2	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Kenin S. (31)	0 : 2
3	Fernandez L. (24)	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
4	Kostyuk M.	Kasatkina D. (14)	2 : 0
5	Rybakina E. (11)	Lys E.	2 : 0
6	Andreescu B.	Vekic D. (20)	2 : 1
7	Frech M. (26)	Azarenka V.	2 : 0
8	Danilovic O.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
9	Gauff C. (4)	Mboko V.	2 : 1
10	Sakkari M.	Linette M. (32)	1 : 2
11	Teichmann J. (LL)	Raducanu E.	0 : 2
12	Kudermetova V.	Anisimova A. (15)	2 : 0
13	Navarro E. (10)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
14	Volynets K. (RET.)	Tauson C. (22)	0 : 1
15	Noskova L. (30)	Kartal S.	2 : 0
16	Arango E.	Andreeva M. (7)	0 : 2
17	Paolini J. (6)	Sun L.	2 : 0
18	Kvitova P.	Jabeur O. (WO.) (27)
19	Ostapenko J. (17)	Sramkova R.	2 : 1
20	Bronzetti L.	Siegemund L.	0 : 2
21	Shnaider D. (13)	Dolehide C.	2 : 0
22	Cristian J.	Putintseva Y. (23)	2 : 0
23	Mertens E. (25)	Lamens S.	2 : 1
24	Krueger A.	Pegula J. (3)	0 : 2
25	Keys M. (5)	Gracheva V.	2 : 0
26	Stearns P.	Kalinskaya A. (28)	2 : 0
27	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
28	Osaka N.	Golubic V. (LL)	2 : 1
29	Svitolina E. (16)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
30	Baptiste H.	Samsonova L. (19)	2 : 1
31	Collins D. (29)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
32	Cocciaretto E.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kenin S. (31)	2 : 1
2	Fernandez L. (24)	Kostyuk M.	0 : 2
3	Rybakina E. (11)	Andreescu B.	0 : 2
4	Frech M. (26)	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
5	Gauff C. (4)	Linette M. (32)	2 : 0
6	Raducanu E.	Kudermetova V.	2 : 1
7	Navarro E. (10)	Tauson C. (22)	1 : 2
8	Noskova L. (30)	Andreeva M. (7)	0 : 2
9	Paolini J. (6)	Jabeur O. (27)	2 : 0
10	Ostapenko J. (WO.) (17)	Siegemund L.
11	Shnaider D. (13)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
12	Mertens E. (25)	Pegula J. (3)	2 : 0
13	Keys M. (5)	Stearns P.	1 : 2
14	Bouzkova M.	Osaka N.	1 : 2
15	Svitolina E. (16)	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
16	Collins D. (29)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kostyuk M.	2 : 0
2	Andreescu B.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
3	Gauff C. (4)	Raducanu E.	2 : 0
4	Tauson C. (22)	Andreeva M. (7)	1 : 2
5	Paolini J. (6)	Ostapenko J. (17)	2 : 0
6	Shnaider D. (13)	Mertens E. (25)	2 : 0
7	Stearns P.	Osaka N.	2 : 1
8	Svitolina E. (16)	Collins D. (29)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
2	Gauff C. (4)	Andreeva M. (7)	2 : 0
3	Paolini J. (6)	Shnaider D. (13)	2 : 1
4	Stearns P.	Svitolina E. (16)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Zheng Q. (8)	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
2	Paolini J. (6)	Stearns P.	2 : 0

Final

1

Gauff C. (4)

Paolini J. (6)

0 : 2