Elise Mertens vs Emma Navarro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/02/2026 at 04:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
51
Double Faults
15
1st serve percentage
48%53%
1st serve points won
83% (19/23)54% (15/28)
2nd serve points won
68% (17/25)44% (11/25)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)43% (3/7)
1st return points won
46% (13/28)30% (7/23)
2nd return points won
56% (14/25)32% (8/25)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)0% (0/2)
Service Points Won
76% (35/46)49% (26/53)
Return Points Won
51% (27/53)24% (11/46)
Total Points Won
63% (62/99)37% (37/99)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Elise Mertens
57.1%
Emma Navarro
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Emma Navarro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.5)

    2.22
    (2.35)
    5.1%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Navarro will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navarro: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emma Navarro will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mertens is ranked WTA: 22. Navarro is ranked WTA: 19.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Navarro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mertens will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro were as follows:
    13.02.2024 Emma Navarro - Elise Mertens 2:0
    12.01.2024 Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro 1:2
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Latest results of Emma Navarro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Maria T.Birrell K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Ruzic A. (LL)Raducanu E.2 : 1
    4Uchijima M. (Q)Zakharova A. (LL)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (9)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    6Sonmez Z. (WC)Bejlek S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Siniakova K.Badosa P.0 : 2
    8ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Ostapenko J.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    11Bouzkova M.Mertens E.0 : 2
    12Ruse G. (Q)Navarro E. (14)0 : 2
    13Noskova L. (10)Li A.2 : 1
    14Cirstea S.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)Eala A.0 : 1
    16ByePaolini J. (6)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Sun L. (WC)Linette M.1 : 2
    19Stearns P. (LL)Frech M. (LL)2 : 0
    20Kenin S.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    21Jovic I. (16)Rakhimova K. (LL)2 : 1
    22Shnaider D.Joint M.2 : 0
    23Gracheva V. (Q)Sramkova R. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePegula J. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Siegemund L.Kasatkina D.0 : 2
    27Seidel E. (Q)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    28Cristian J.Marcinko P. (LL)2 : 0
    29Samsonova L. (13)Fernandez L.1 : 2
    30Yastremska D.Tjen J. (WC)0 : 2
    31Pavlyuchenkova A.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    32ByeAnisimova A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Birrell K.2 : 0
    2Ruzic A.Zakharova A.2 : 1
    3Bencic B. (WO.) (9)Bejlek S.
    4Badosa P. (RET.)Svitolina E. (7)0 : 1
    5Gauff C. (3)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    6Mertens E.Navarro E. (14)2 : 0
    7Noskova L. (10)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    8Eala A.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Linette M.1 : 2
    10Stearns P.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (16)Shnaider D.2 : 1
    12Gracheva V.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)Kasatkina D.
    14Seidel E. (RET.)Cristian J.0 : 1
    15Fernandez L.Tjen J.0 : 2
    16Krejcikova B.Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)Ruzic A.1 : 1
    2Bencic B. (9)Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Mertens E.2 : 1
    4Cirstea S.Eala A.0 : 2
    5Linette M.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    6Jovic I. (16)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Tjen J.Anisimova A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruzic A.Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Eala A.2 : 0
    3Tauson C. (12)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (5)Anisimova A. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Svitolina E. (7)Gauff C. (3)2 : 1
    2Pegula J. (4)Anisimova A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Svitolina E. (7)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2