Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Roma Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula
Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
51%51%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (24/35)58% (15/26)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (22/34)48% (12/25)
Break Points Saved
88% (7/8)0% (0/4)
1st Return Points Won
42% (11/26)37% (13/35)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (13/25)32% (11/34)
Break Points Converted
100% (4/4)13% (1/8)
Service Points Won
67% (46/69)53% (27/51)
Return Points Won
47% (24/51)33% (23/69)
Total Points Won
58% (70/120)42% (50/120)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)

Chances of winning


Elise Mertens
36%
Jessica Pegula
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 72.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 73.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.
  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (3.42)

    1.49
    (1.31)
    4.9%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 36.2%76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mertens (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pegula (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mertens is ranked WTA: 24. Pegula is ranked WTA: 4.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Pegula might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
    14.01.2025 Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    02.06.2023 Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula 2:0
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Yastremska D.Potapova A.1 : 2
    3Pavlyuchenkova A.Boulter K.2 : 0
    4ByeKenin S. (31)
    5Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    6Ruzic A. (Q)Grant T. C. (WC)2 : 1
    7Eala A.Kostyuk M.0 : 2
    8ByeKasatkina D. (14)
    9Rybakina E. (11)Bye
    10Uchijima M.Lys E.0 : 2
    11Andreescu B.Urgesi F. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeVekic D. (20)
    13Frech M. (26)Bye
    14Azarenka V.Osorio C.2 : 0
    15Siniakova K.Danilovic O.1 : 2
    16ByeZheng Q. (8)
    17Gauff C. (4)Bye
    18Zucchini A. (WC)Mboko V. (Q)0 : 2
    19Sakkari M. (Q)Bencic B. (RET.)1 : 0
    20ByeLinette M. (32)
    21Teichmann J. (LL)Bye
    22Joint M. (Q)Raducanu E.1 : 2
    23Stefanini L. (WC)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    24ByeAnisimova A. (15)
    25Navarro E. (10)Bye
    26Rakhimova K. (LL)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    27Volynets K. (Q)Rus A. (Q)2 : 0
    28ByeTauson C. (22)
    29Noskova L. (30)Bye
    30Birrell K.Kartal S.1 : 2
    31Arango E. (Q)Tomova V.2 : 1
    32ByeAndreeva M. (7)
    33Paolini J. (6)Bye
    34Pedone G. (WC)Sun L.1 : 2
    35Kvitova P.Begu I.2 : 0
    36ByeJabeur O. (27)
    37Ostapenko J. (17)Bye
    38Sramkova R.Kessler M.2 : 0
    39Bronzetti L.Sevastova A.2 : 0
    40ByeSiegemund L. (LL)
    41Shnaider D. (13)Bye
    42Dolehide C.Gadecki O. (LL)2 : 1
    43Parks A.Cristian J.0 : 2
    44ByePutintseva Y. (23)
    45Mertens E. (25)Bye
    46Lamens S.Zarazua R.2 : 1
    47Krueger A.Bondar A. (Q)2 : 1
    48ByePegula J. (3)
    49Keys M. (5)Bye
    50Gracheva V.Tomljanovic A. (Q)2 : 0
    51Stearns P.Brancaccio N. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeKalinskaya A. (28)
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Bye
    54Bouzkova M.Sherif M.2 : 0
    55Errani S. (WC)Osaka N.0 : 2
    56ByeGolubic V. (LL)
    57Svitolina E. (16)Bye
    58Bouzas Maneiro J.Li A.2 : 1
    59Baptiste H. (Q)Blinkova A. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    61Collins D. (29)Bye
    62Ruse G. (Q)Kudermetova P.2 : 1
    63Cocciaretto E. (WC)Avanesyan E.2 : 1
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Potapova A.2 : 0
    2Pavlyuchenkova A.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (24)Ruzic A.2 : 0
    4Kostyuk M.Kasatkina D. (14)2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (11)Lys E.2 : 0
    6Andreescu B.Vekic D. (20)2 : 1
    7Frech M. (26)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    8Danilovic O.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    9Gauff C. (4)Mboko V.2 : 1
    10Sakkari M.Linette M. (32)1 : 2
    11Teichmann J. (LL)Raducanu E.0 : 2
    12Kudermetova V.Anisimova A. (15)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    14Volynets K. (RET.)Tauson C. (22)0 : 1
    15Noskova L. (30)Kartal S.2 : 0
    16Arango E.Andreeva M. (7)0 : 2
    17Paolini J. (6)Sun L.2 : 0
    18Kvitova P.Jabeur O. (WO.) (27)
    19Ostapenko J. (17)Sramkova R.2 : 1
    20Bronzetti L.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    21Shnaider D. (13)Dolehide C.2 : 0
    22Cristian J.Putintseva Y. (23)2 : 0
    23Mertens E. (25)Lamens S.2 : 1
    24Krueger A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    26Stearns P.Kalinskaya A. (28)2 : 0
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    28Osaka N.Golubic V. (LL)2 : 1
    29Svitolina E. (16)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    30Baptiste H.Samsonova L. (19)2 : 1
    31Collins D. (29)Ruse G.2 : 0
    32Cocciaretto E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kenin S. (31)2 : 1
    2Fernandez L. (24)Kostyuk M.0 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (11)Andreescu B.0 : 2
    4Frech M. (26)Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (4)Linette M. (32)2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Kudermetova V.2 : 1
    7Navarro E. (10)Tauson C. (22)1 : 2
    8Noskova L. (30)Andreeva M. (7)0 : 2
    9Paolini J. (6)Jabeur O. (27)2 : 0
    10Ostapenko J. (WO.) (17)Siegemund L.
    11Shnaider D. (13)Cristian J.2 : 0
    12Mertens E. (25)Pegula J. (3)2 : 0
    13Keys M. (5)Stearns P.1 : 2
    14Bouzkova M.Osaka N.1 : 2
    15Svitolina E. (16)Baptiste H.2 : 1
    16Collins D. (29)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kostyuk M.2 : 0
    2Andreescu B.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    3Gauff C. (4)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Tauson C. (22)Andreeva M. (7)1 : 2
    5Paolini J. (6)Ostapenko J. (17)2 : 0
    6Shnaider D. (13)Mertens E. (25)2 : 0
    7Stearns P.Osaka N.2 : 1
    8Svitolina E. (16)Collins D. (29)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    2Gauff C. (4)Andreeva M. (7)2 : 0
    3Paolini J. (6)Shnaider D. (13)2 : 1
    4Stearns P.Svitolina E. (16)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Zheng Q. (8)Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    2Paolini J. (6)Stearns P.2 : 0

    Final
    1Gauff C. (4)Paolini J. (6)0 : 2