Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 51% | 51% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (24/35) | 58% (15/26) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (22/34) | 48% (12/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 0% (0/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 37% (13/35) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 32% (11/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 13% (1/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (46/69) | 53% (27/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 33% (23/69) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (70/120) | 42% (50/120) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 32% (6/19) |
Chances of winning
Elise Mertens
36% | Jessica Pegula
64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(3.42) |
|
1.49 ↑
(1.31) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 36.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mertens (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pegula (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mertens is ranked WTA: 24. Pegula is ranked WTA: 4.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Pegula might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Elise Mertens won against Jessica Pegula?
Elise Mertens has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Elise Mertens?
Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
14.01.2025
Elise Mertens
-
Jessica Pegula
0:2
02.06.2023
Elise Mertens
-
Jessica Pegula
2:0
Latest results of Elise Mertens
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Yastremska D. | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Kenin S. (31) | |
| 5 | Fernandez L. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Ruzic A. (Q) | Grant T. C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Eala A. | Kostyuk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Kasatkina D. (14) | |
| 9 | Rybakina E. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Uchijima M. | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Andreescu B. | Urgesi F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Vekic D. (20) | |
| 13 | Frech M. (26) | Bye | |
| 14 | Azarenka V. | Osorio C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Siniakova K. | Danilovic O. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Zheng Q. (8) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Zucchini A. (WC) | Mboko V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Sakkari M. (Q) | Bencic B. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Linette M. (32) | |
| 21 | Teichmann J. (LL) | Bye | |
| 22 | Joint M. (Q) | Raducanu E. | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Stefanini L. (WC) | Kudermetova V. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Anisimova A. (15) | |
| 25 | Navarro E. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Rakhimova K. (LL) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Volynets K. (Q) | Rus A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Tauson C. (22) | |
| 29 | Noskova L. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Birrell K. | Kartal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Arango E. (Q) | Tomova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Andreeva M. (7) | |
| 33 | Paolini J. (6) | Bye | |
| 34 | Pedone G. (WC) | Sun L. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Kvitova P. | Begu I. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Jabeur O. (27) | |
| 37 | Ostapenko J. (17) | Bye | |
| 38 | Sramkova R. | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Bronzetti L. | Sevastova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Siegemund L. (LL) | |
| 41 | Shnaider D. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Dolehide C. | Gadecki O. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Parks A. | Cristian J. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Putintseva Y. (23) | |
| 45 | Mertens E. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Lamens S. | Zarazua R. | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Krueger A. | Bondar A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 49 | Keys M. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Gracheva V. | Tomljanovic A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Stearns P. | Brancaccio N. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (28) | |
| 53 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Bye | |
| 54 | Bouzkova M. | Sherif M. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Errani S. (WC) | Osaka N. | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Golubic V. (LL) | |
| 57 | Svitolina E. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Li A. | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Baptiste H. (Q) | Blinkova A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Samsonova L. (19) | |
| 61 | Collins D. (29) | Bye | |
| 62 | Ruse G. (Q) | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Cocciaretto E. (WC) | Avanesyan E. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Kenin S. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Fernandez L. (24) | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kostyuk M. | Kasatkina D. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rybakina E. (11) | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Andreescu B. | Vekic D. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Frech M. (26) | Azarenka V. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Danilovic O. | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (4) | Mboko V. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Sakkari M. | Linette M. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Teichmann J. (LL) | Raducanu E. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kudermetova V. | Anisimova A. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Navarro E. (10) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Volynets K. (RET.) | Tauson C. (22) | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Noskova L. (30) | Kartal S. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Arango E. | Andreeva M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Paolini J. (6) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Kvitova P. | Jabeur O. (WO.) (27) | |
| 19 | Ostapenko J. (17) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bronzetti L. | Siegemund L. | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Shnaider D. (13) | Dolehide C. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Cristian J. | Putintseva Y. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Mertens E. (25) | Lamens S. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Krueger A. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Keys M. (5) | Gracheva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Stearns P. | Kalinskaya A. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Osaka N. | Golubic V. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Svitolina E. (16) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Baptiste H. | Samsonova L. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Collins D. (29) | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cocciaretto E. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kenin S. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Fernandez L. (24) | Kostyuk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Rybakina E. (11) | Andreescu B. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Frech M. (26) | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (4) | Linette M. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Raducanu E. | Kudermetova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Navarro E. (10) | Tauson C. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Noskova L. (30) | Andreeva M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Paolini J. (6) | Jabeur O. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ostapenko J. (WO.) (17) | Siegemund L. | |
| 11 | Shnaider D. (13) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mertens E. (25) | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Keys M. (5) | Stearns P. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bouzkova M. | Osaka N. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Svitolina E. (16) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Collins D. (29) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kostyuk M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andreescu B. | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (4) | Raducanu E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tauson C. (22) | Andreeva M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (6) | Ostapenko J. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Shnaider D. (13) | Mertens E. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Stearns P. | Osaka N. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Svitolina E. (16) | Collins D. (29) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Andreeva M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Paolini J. (6) | Shnaider D. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Stearns P. | Svitolina E. (16) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zheng Q. (8) | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Paolini J. (6) | Stearns P. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Gauff C. (4) | Paolini J. (6) | 0 : 2 |
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