Elise Mertens vs Lulu Sun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open Elise Mertens - Lulu Sun
Result
2:0
27/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumHBO Max, HBO Max
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaHBO Max
croatiaCroatiaHBO Max
czech-republicCzech-republicHBO Max
denmarkDenmarkHBO Max
finlandFinlandHBO Max
franceFranceHBO Max
hungaryHungaryHBO Max
moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
montenegroMontenegroHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsHBO Max
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaHBO Max
norwayNorwayHBO Max
polandPolandHBO Max
romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainHBO Max
swedenSwedenHBO Max

Match Stats

Aces
74
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
66%56%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (28/38)54% (19/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (10/20)41% (11/27)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)44% (4/9)
Average 1st Serve Speed
164 km/h164 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
133 km/h136 km/h
1st Return Points Won
46% (16/35)29% (11/38)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (16/27)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)20% (1/5)
Winners
1720
Unforced Errors
1526
Net Points Won
43% (3/7)62% (13/21)
Service Points Won
64% (35/55)50% (29/58)
Return Points Won
50% (29/58)36% (20/55)
Total Points Won
57% (64/113)43% (49/113)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)44% (4/9)
Return Games Won
56% (5/9)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)
Distance Covered (metres)
10701171

Chances of winning


Elise Mertens
78.3%
Lulu Sun
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.2% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.
  • Lulu Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lulu Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lulu Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elise Mertens - Lulu Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.35)

    4.4
    (3.5)
    4%
    (2.6%)
    What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Lulu Sun?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Sun will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Sun is ranked WTA: 164.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mertens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mertens is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Latest results of Lulu Sun
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Li A.0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)2 : 0
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)1 : 2
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.2 : 1
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (9)Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    3Pegula J. (4)Li A.2 : 0
    4Krejcikova B.Townsend T.2 : 1
    5Kostyuk M. (27)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    6Osaka N. (23)Gauff C. (3)2 : 0
    7Anisimova A. (8)Haddad Maia B. (18)2 : 0
    8Alexandrova E. (13)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)Vondrousova M.
    2Pegula J. (4)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    3Muchova K. (11)Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    4Anisimova A. (8)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (4)2 : 1
    2Osaka N. (23)Anisimova A. (8)1 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (8)2 : 0