Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
67%55%
1st serve points won
47% (16/34)86% (24/28)
2nd serve points won
53% (9/17)52% (12/23)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)100% (1/1)
1st return points won
18% (5/28)53% (18/34)
2nd return points won
48% (11/23)47% (8/17)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
51% (25/49)71% (36/51)
Return Points Won
29% (15/51)49% (24/49)
Total Points Won
40% (40/100)60% (60/100)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
40
Service games won
50% (4/8)100% (8/8)
Return games won
0% (0/8)50% (4/8)
Total games won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Marie Bouzkova
42.8%
Elise Mertens
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marie Bouzkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Bouzkova than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Marie Bouzkova - Elise Mertens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.39)

    1.66
    (1.58)
    5.5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Marie Bouzkova - Elise Mertens?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bouzkova will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Mertens will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bouzkova: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bouzkova (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bouzkova is ranked WTA: 37. Mertens is ranked WTA: 22.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Bouzkova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mertens could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bouzkova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marie Bouzkova - Elise Mertens were as follows:
    16.08.2023 Elise Mertens - Marie Bouzkova 1:2
    Latest results of Marie Bouzkova
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Maria T.Birrell K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Ruzic A. (LL)Raducanu E.2 : 1
    4Uchijima M. (Q)Zakharova A. (LL)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (9)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    6Sonmez Z. (WC)Bejlek S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Siniakova K.Badosa P.0 : 2
    8ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Ostapenko J.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    11Bouzkova M.Mertens E.0 : 2
    12Ruse G. (Q)Navarro E. (14)0 : 2
    13Noskova L. (10)Li A.2 : 1
    14Cirstea S.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)Eala A.0 : 1
    16ByePaolini J. (6)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Sun L. (WC)Linette M.1 : 2
    19Stearns P. (LL)Frech M. (LL)2 : 0
    20Kenin S.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    21Jovic I. (16)Rakhimova K. (LL)2 : 1
    22Shnaider D.Joint M.2 : 0
    23Gracheva V. (Q)Sramkova R. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePegula J. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Siegemund L.Kasatkina D.0 : 2
    27Seidel E. (Q)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    28Cristian J.Marcinko P. (LL)2 : 0
    29Samsonova L. (13)Fernandez L.1 : 2
    30Yastremska D.Tjen J. (WC)0 : 2
    31Pavlyuchenkova A.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    32ByeAnisimova A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Birrell K.2 : 0
    2Ruzic A.Zakharova A.2 : 1
    3Bencic B. (WO.) (9)Bejlek S.
    4Badosa P. (RET.)Svitolina E. (7)0 : 1
    5Gauff C. (3)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    6Mertens E.Navarro E. (14)2 : 0
    7Noskova L. (10)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    8Eala A.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Linette M.1 : 2
    10Stearns P.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (16)Shnaider D.2 : 1
    12Gracheva V.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)Kasatkina D.
    14Seidel E. (RET.)Cristian J.0 : 1
    15Fernandez L.Tjen J.0 : 2
    16Krejcikova B.Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)Ruzic A.1 : 1
    2Bencic B. (9)Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Mertens E.2 : 1
    4Cirstea S.Eala A.0 : 2
    5Linette M.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    6Jovic I. (16)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Tjen J.Anisimova A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruzic A.Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Eala A.2 : 0
    3Tauson C. (12)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (5)Anisimova A. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Svitolina E. (7)Gauff C. (3)2 : 1
    2Pegula J. (4)Anisimova A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Svitolina E. (7)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2