Elise Mertens vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Dubai Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa
Result
0:2
18/02/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
53%63%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (13/20)87% (26/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
17% (3/18)56% (10/18)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
13% (4/30)35% (7/20)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (8/18)83% (15/18)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
42% (16/38)75% (36/48)
Return Points Won
25% (12/48)58% (22/38)
Total Points Won
33% (28/86)67% (58/86)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
43% (3/7)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)57% (4/7)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Elise Mertens
43.7%
Paula Badosa
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 61.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.
  • Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paula Badosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Badosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.37)

    1.7
    (1.49)
    4.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Badosa will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 31%73.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mertens is ranked WTA: 31. Badosa is ranked WTA: 10.
    • Recent matches Mertens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Badosa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Mertens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Badosa to win the game is with odds 1.69.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Alexandrova E.Kudermetova V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sramkova R.Tauson C.0 : 2
    4Svitolina E.Kalinskaya A. (15)2 : 0
    5Shnaider D. (11)Frech M.2 : 0
    6Noskova L.Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    7Samsonova L.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    8ByePegula J. (5)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Kessler M.Anisimova A.2 : 0
    11Sakkari M.Raducanu E. (WC)0 : 2
    12Lamens S. (Q)Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    13Kasatkina D. (10)Cirstea S. (WC)0 : 2
    14Parks A. (Q)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    15Bencic B.Ito A. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeNavarro E. (8)
    17Rybakina E. (6)Bye
    18Uchijima M. (Q)Ostapenko J.2 : 0
    19Mertens E.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    20Sun L.Badosa P. (9)0 : 2
    21Vekic D. (16)Kenin S. (WC)0 : 2
    22Siniakova K. (Q)Kostyuk M.0 : 2
    23Lys E. (Q)Begu I. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePaolini J. (4)
    25Zheng Q. (7)Bye
    26Jabeur O.Stearns P.0 : 2
    27Vondrousova M.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 0
    28Avanesyan E.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2
    29Haddad Maia B. (13)Potapova A.0 : 2
    30Linette M.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    31Azarenka V.Kalinina A.2 : 1
    32ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova V.2 : 0
    2Tauson C.Svitolina E.2 : 1
    3Shnaider D. (11)Noskova L.1 : 2
    4Samsonova L.Pegula J. (5)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Kessler M.0 : 2
    6Raducanu E.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    7Cirstea S.Parks A.2 : 1
    8Bencic B.Navarro E. (8)1 : 2
    9Rybakina E. (6)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    10Mertens E.Badosa P. (9)0 : 2
    11Kenin S.Kostyuk M.2 : 1
    12Lys E.Paolini J. (4)0 : 2
    13Zheng Q. (7)Stearns P.1 : 2
    14Vondrousova M.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2
    15Potapova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    16Azarenka V.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Tauson C.0 : 2
    2Noskova L.Pegula J. (5)2 : 0
    3Kessler M.Muchova K. (14)1 : 2
    4Cirstea S.Navarro E. (8)2 : 1
    5Rybakina E. (6)Badosa P. (9)2 : 1
    6Kenin S.Paolini J. (4)2 : 0
    7Stearns P.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tauson C.Noskova L.2 : 0
    2Muchova K. (14)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    3Rybakina E. (6)Kenin S.2 : 0
    4Andreeva M. (12)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tauson C.Muchova K. (14)2 : 1
    2Rybakina E. (6)Andreeva M. (12)1 : 2

    Final
    1Tauson C.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2