Elise Mertens vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
18/02/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
53%63%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (13/20)87% (26/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
17% (3/18)56% (10/18)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
13% (4/30)35% (7/20)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (8/18)83% (15/18)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
42% (16/38)75% (36/48)
Return Points Won
25% (12/48)58% (22/38)
Total Points Won
33% (28/86)67% (58/86)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
43% (3/7)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)57% (4/7)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Elise Mertens
43.7%
Paula Badosa
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 61.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.
  • Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paula Badosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elise Mertens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Badosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.37)

    1.7
    (1.49)
    4.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Badosa will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 31%73.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mertens is ranked WTA: 31. Badosa is ranked WTA: 10.
    • Recent matches Mertens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Badosa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Mertens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Badosa to win the game is with odds 1.69.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    Latest results of Elise Mertens
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Maria T.Birrell K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Ruzic A. (LL)Raducanu E.2 : 1
    4Uchijima M. (Q)Zakharova A. (LL)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (9)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    6Sonmez Z. (WC)Bejlek S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Siniakova K.Badosa P.0 : 2
    8ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Ostapenko J.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    11Bouzkova M.Mertens E.0 : 2
    12Ruse G. (Q)Navarro E. (14)0 : 2
    13Noskova L. (10)Li A.2 : 1
    14Cirstea S.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)Eala A.0 : 1
    16ByePaolini J. (6)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Sun L. (WC)Linette M.1 : 2
    19Stearns P. (LL)Frech M. (LL)2 : 0
    20Kenin S.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    21Jovic I. (16)Rakhimova K. (LL)2 : 1
    22Shnaider D.Joint M.2 : 0
    23Gracheva V. (Q)Sramkova R. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePegula J. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Siegemund L.Kasatkina D.0 : 2
    27Seidel E. (Q)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    28Cristian J.Marcinko P. (LL)2 : 0
    29Samsonova L. (13)Fernandez L.1 : 2
    30Yastremska D.Tjen J. (WC)0 : 2
    31Pavlyuchenkova A.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    32ByeAnisimova A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Birrell K.2 : 0
    2Ruzic A.Zakharova A.2 : 1
    3Bencic B. (WO.) (9)Bejlek S.
    4Badosa P. (RET.)Svitolina E. (7)0 : 1
    5Gauff C. (3)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    6Mertens E.Navarro E. (14)2 : 0
    7Noskova L. (10)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    8Eala A.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Linette M.1 : 2
    10Stearns P.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (16)Shnaider D.2 : 1
    12Gracheva V.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)Kasatkina D.
    14Seidel E. (RET.)Cristian J.0 : 1
    15Fernandez L.Tjen J.0 : 2
    16Krejcikova B.Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)Ruzic A.1 : 1
    2Bencic B. (9)Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Mertens E.2 : 1
    4Cirstea S.Eala A.0 : 2
    5Linette M.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    6Jovic I. (16)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Tjen J.Anisimova A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruzic A.Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Eala A.2 : 0
    3Tauson C. (12)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (5)Anisimova A. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Svitolina E. (7)Gauff C. (3)2 : 1
    2Pegula J. (4)Anisimova A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Svitolina E. (7)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2