Ella McDonald vs Jasmin Ortenzi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/03/2026 at 18:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Chihuahua, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
46

Chances of winning


Ella McDonald
35.6%
Jasmin Ortenzi
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 70.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ella McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ella McDonald that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmin Ortenzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ella McDonald - Jasmin Ortenzi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.7)

    1.43
    (1.39)
    8.2%
    (9%)
    Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked WTA: 473. Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 223.
    • McDonald is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ortenzi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ortenzi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ella McDonald
    Latest results of Jasmin Ortenzi
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Kalieva E. (1)Dominguez Garcia R.2 : 0
    2Hewitt D.Mediorreal A. V.2 : 0
    3Danilova A.Navarro M. F.0 : 2
    4Daniel J.Rodriguez V. (8)2 : 1
    5Rogers A. S. (4)Colyer R.2 : 0
    6Laskevich E. (RET.)Hinojosa Gomez J.0 : 1
    7Giavara H.Kuwata H.1 : 2
    8Arseneault A.Stoiana M. (6)0 : 2
    9Sousa Salazar N. (LL)Nava Elkin A. C.2 : 0
    10Castillo Meza M.Leon S.1 : 2
    11Pawlikowska Z.Lacasse R.1 : 2
    12Rapolu M.Inoue H. (3)0 : 2
    13Tikhonova A. (5)Mdlulwa W.2 : 0
    14Ivanova D.Martinez Solis C. S.2 : 1
    15Romero C.Grubor A.0 : 2
    16Plekhanova D. (RET.)Cross K. (2)0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kalieva E. (1)Hewitt D.0 : 2
    2Navarro M. F.Daniel J.2 : 0
    3Rogers A. S. (4)Hinojosa Gomez J.2 : 0
    4Kuwata H.Stoiana M. (6)0 : 2
    5Sousa Salazar N.Leon S.1 : 2
    6Lacasse R.Inoue H. (3)0 : 2
    7Tikhonova A. (5)Ivanova D.2 : 0
    8Grubor A.Cross K. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Hewitt D.Navarro M. F.1 : 2
    2Rogers A. S. (4)Stoiana M. (6)0 : 2
    3Leon S. (RET.)Inoue H. (3)0 : 0
    4Tikhonova A. (5)Cross K. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Navarro M. F.Stoiana M. (6)0 : 2
    2Inoue H. (3)Cross K. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Stoiana M. (6)Cross K. (2)2 : 1