Elmer Moeller vs Federico Arnaboldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Francavilla Challenger Men Elmer Moeller - Federico Arnaboldi
Result
1:2
06/05/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final
  • Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
310
1st Serve Percentage
72%43%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (46/74)73% (35/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (14/29)49% (31/63)
Break Points Saved
64% (9/14)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
38% (18/48)38% (28/74)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (32/63)52% (15/29)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)36% (5/14)
Max Points In Row
86
Service Points Won
58% (60/103)59% (64/108)
Return Points Won
41% (44/108)42% (43/103)
Total Points Won
49% (104/211)51% (107/211)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Elmer Moeller
73.5%
Federico Arnaboldi
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.
  • Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Arnaboldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elmer Moeller - Federico Arnaboldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.49)

    3.51
    (2.46)
    7.5%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Moeller is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Elmer Moeller
    Latest results of Federico Arnaboldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Preda L.2 : 0
    2Stricker D. (Alt)Jubb P.2 : 0
    3Coppejans K. (Alt)Collarini A. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Cachin P. (Q)Trungelliti M. (5)0 : 2
    5Skatov T. (3)Engel J. (Q)2 : 1
    6Paire B. (WC)Fonio G. (Q)2 : 1
    7Denolly C. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (WC)0 : 2
    8Albot R.Buse I. (8)2 : 0
    9Mena F. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Chidekh C. (Alt)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    11Barrere G.Ymer E. (Alt)1 : 2
    12Travaglia S. (Q)Karatsev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Lajal M. (7)Dalla Valle E. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Berrettini J. (Q)Butvilas E.2 : 0
    15Carboni L. (WC)Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)1 : 2
    16Erhard M. (Alt)Ajdukovic D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Stricker D.1 : 2
    2Coppejans K.Trungelliti M. (5)2 : 0
    3Skatov T. (3)Paire B.0 : 2
    4Maestrelli F.Albot R.2 : 1
    5Vatutin A.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Ymer E.Karatsev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Lajal M. (7)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    8Sanchez Jover C.Erhard M.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stricker D.Coppejans K.2 : 0
    2Paire B.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Ymer E.2 : 1
    4Lajal M. (7)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Stricker D. (RET.)Maestrelli F.1 : 1
    2Vacherot V.Lajal M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Maestrelli F.Vacherot V.2 : 0