Elmer Moeller vs Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Milan Challenger Men Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
Result
2:0
27/06/2024 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
51
1st Serve Percentage
56%56%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (25/32)45% (13/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (8/25)30% (7/23)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)33% (3/9)
1st Return Points Won
59% (17/29)28% (9/32)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (16/23)68% (17/25)
Break Points Converted
67% (6/9)67% (2/3)
Max Points In Row
97
Service Points Won
58% (33/57)40% (20/50)
Return Points Won
60% (30/50)42% (24/57)
Total Points Won
59% (63/107)41% (44/107)
Max Games In Row
72
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Elmer Moeller
46.3%
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moeller's performance.
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moeller that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.64)

    1.74
    (1.41)
    6.7%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Elmer Moeller - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Varillas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moeller is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Varillas Patino-Samudio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Elmer Moeller
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Piraino G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Berrettini J. (Q)Squire H. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Erhard M.Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Martin A.Gakhov I. (8)1 : 2
    5Soto M. (4)Pereira T. (LL)1 : 2
    6Jodar R. (JR)Giustino L.2 : 0
    7Dedura D. (NG)Gea A.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (6)Vatutin A. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Faurel T. (Q)Bondioli F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fonio G. (Q)Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    13Poljicak M. (7)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    14Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Vasami J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Prihodko O. (Alt)Albot R.2 : 0
    16Mikrut L.Coppejans K. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Gakhov I. (8)2 : 0
    3Pereira T.Jodar R.1 : 2
    4Gea A.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    5Ferreira Silva F. (6)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T.Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (7)Vasami J.1 : 2
    8Prihodko O.Mikrut L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Gea A.2 : 1
    3Cecchinato M.Houkes M. (3)2 : 0
    4Vasami J.Mikrut L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Jodar R.2 : 1
    2Cecchinato M.Vasami J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Prizmic D. (1)Cecchinato M.0 : 2