Elmer Moller vs Carlos Lopez Montagud – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/11/2025 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
63%76%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (26/40)61% (31/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (13/24)19% (3/16)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
39% (20/51)35% (14/40)
2nd Return Points Won
81% (13/16)46% (11/24)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)75% (3/4)
Winners
247
Unforced Errors
2727
Net Points Won
78% (14/18)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
61% (39/64)51% (34/67)
Return Points Won
49% (33/67)39% (25/64)
Total Points Won
55% (72/131)45% (59/131)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)55% (6/11)
Return Games Won
45% (5/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Elmer Moller
63.8%
Carlos Lopez Montagud
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Carlos Lopez Montagud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.42)

    2.58
    (2.67)
    6.7%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Moller is ranked ATP: 147. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 551.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Moller is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud were as follows:
    06.10.2025 Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud 0:2
    Latest results of Elmer Moller
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (NG)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    3Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G. (SE)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Moller E. (3)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Michalski D.Curras Abasolo T. (Q)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    8Pereira T.Lopez Montagud C. (Q)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (7)Cretu C. (LL)2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Martin A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Vatutin A. (LL)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    12Elias G. (WC)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Kolar Z. (8)Damas M.1 : 2
    14Andreev A. (PR)Marmousez L. (Q)1 : 2
    15Sanchez Izquierdo N.Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    16Jianu F. C.Faria J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1
    2Santamarta Roig A.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Moller E. (3)Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Blancaneaux G.Lopez Montagud C.1 : 2
    5Giustino L. (RET.) (7)Martin A.0 : 1
    6Vatutin A.Rocha H. (4)2 : 0
    7Damas M.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Jover C.Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Moller E. (3)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Martin A.Vatutin A.2 : 0
    4Marmousez L.Jianu F. C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    2Martin A.Marmousez L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Moller E. (3)Martin A.2 : 0