Elmer Moller vs Francesco Passaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
14/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
63
1st serve percentage
59%59%
1st serve points won
46% (18/39)63% (29/46)
2nd serve points won
52% (14/27)47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)63% (5/8)
1st return points won
39% (18/46)54% (21/39)
2nd return points won
53% (17/32)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)63% (5/8)
Winners
1919
Unforced errors
2731
Net points won
33% (4/12)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
48% (32/66)56% (46/82)
Return Points Won
44% (36/82)52% (34/66)
Total Points Won
46% (68/148)54% (80/148)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
55% (6/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)45% (5/11)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Elmer Moller
38.3%
Francesco Passaro
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elmer Moller's form might have worsened.
  • Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elmer Moller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elmer Moller - Francesco Passaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (1.9)

    1.52
    (1.9)
    6.3%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Elmer Moller - Francesco Passaro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Moller (votes: 1 - 50%). Passaro (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Francesco Passaro will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moller is ranked ATP: 121. Passaro is ranked ATP: 159.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Elmer Moller
    06.02.2026 Matej Dodig - Elmer Moller 0:2
    27.01.2026 Elmer Moller - Chris Rodesch Moller E. retired
    13.01.2026 Elmer Moller - Elias Ymer 1:2
    Latest results of Francesco Passaro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel G. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2