Castell de Peñiscola vs ElPozo Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Futsal Spanish Primera Division Futsal Castell de Peñiscola - ElPozo Murcia
Result
2:3
04/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 1', Elias (G),
  • 8', Rafa Santos (G),
  • 19', Gadeia (G),
  • 20', Gauna L. (G),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Marlon 🟨,
  • 28', Pardo C. 🟨,
  • 33', Juanqui 🟨,
  • 39', Marcel (G),

Chances of winning


Castell de Peñiscola
47.2%
Draw
16.9%
ElPozo Murcia
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 17.1% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 18.6% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castell de Peñiscola's form might have worsened.
  • ElPozo Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ElPozo Murcia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ElPozo Murcia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Castell de Peñiscola - ElPozo Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.76)
    5.4
    (5.39)
    2.55
    (3.03)
    9.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Peñiscola will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Peñiscola will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 56:89. (average 2.8:4.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñiscola won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:42. (average 3.2:4.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castell de Peñiscola - ElPozo Murcia were as follows:
    01.06.2025 ElPozo Murcia - Castell de Peñiscola 6:3
    29.05.2025 Castell de Peñiscola - ElPozo Murcia 8:7
    19.04.2025 Castell de Peñiscola - ElPozo Murcia 5:4
    21.12.2024 ElPozo Murcia - Castell de Peñiscola 3:4
    30.03.2024 Castell de Peñiscola - ElPozo Murcia 5:1
    Latest results of ElPozo Murcia
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Palma Futsal (2)Xota FS (7)2 : 0
    2Barcelona (3)Jaen (6)2 : 1
    3Movistar Inter (4)Cartagena (5)1 : 2
    4Peniscola (1)ElPozo Murcia (8)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Palma Futsal (2)Barcelona (3)1 : 2
    2Cartagena (5)ElPozo Murcia (8)2 : 1

    Final
    1Barcelona (3)Cartagena (5)1 : 3