Elsa Jacquemot vs Tatjana Maria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Guadalajara Elsa Jacquemot - Tatjana Maria
Result
2:1
12/09/2025 at 16:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6

Match Stats

Aces
75
Double Faults
105
1st Serve Percentage
64%64%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (35/55)66% (38/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (12/31)45% (15/33)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)50% (6/12)
1st Return Points Won
38% (22/58)42% (23/55)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (18/33)61% (19/31)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
55% (47/86)56% (51/91)
Return Points Won
44% (40/91)45% (39/86)
Total Points Won
49% (87/177)51% (90/177)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)60% (9/15)
Return Games Won
40% (6/15)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Elsa Jacquemot
63.8%
Tatjana Maria
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elsa Jacquemot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elsa Jacquemot's performance.
  • Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tatjana Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elsa Jacquemot than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elsa Jacquemot that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tatjana Maria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elsa Jacquemot - Tatjana Maria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.68)

    2.66
    (2.22)
    5%
    (4.5%)
    What is the prediction for Elsa Jacquemot - Tatjana Maria?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jacquemot will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Maria will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jacquemot: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Jacquemot is ranked WTA: 83. Maria is ranked WTA: 51.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Maria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Elsa Jacquemot
    Latest results of Tatjana Maria
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mertens E. (1)Bye
    2Sakkari M.Jacquemot E.0 : 2
    3Trevisan M. (WC)Marino R.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z.Maria T. (6)0 : 2
    5Ostapenko J. (3)Bye
    6Kudermetova P.Stakusic M. (Q)1 : 2
    7Hunter S. (WC)Siniakova K.2 : 1
    8Arango E.Linette M. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    9Parks A. (7)Vidmanova D. (Q)0 : 2
    10Bartunkova N. (WC)Fossa Huergo N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Stephens S. (WC)Stefanini L. (Q)1 : 2
    12ByeFrech M. (4)
    13Osorio C. (8)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    14Kawa K.Jovic I.1 : 2
    15Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Pridankina E. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeKudermetova V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Mertens E. (1)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    2Marino R.Maria T. (6)0 : 2
    3Ostapenko J. (3)Stakusic M.1 : 2
    4Hunter S.Arango E.0 : 2
    5Vidmanova D.Bartunkova N.0 : 2
    6Stefanini L.Frech M. (4)0 : 2
    7Osorio C. (8)Jovic I.0 : 2
    8Jimenez Kasintseva V.Kudermetova V. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Jacquemot E.Maria T. (6)2 : 1
    2Stakusic M.Arango E.0 : 2
    3Bartunkova N.Frech M. (4)2 : 0
    4Jovic I.Jimenez Kasintseva V.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jacquemot E.Arango E.0 : 2
    2Bartunkova N.Jovic I.1 : 2

    Final
    1Arango E.Jovic I.0 : 2