Tatjana Maria vs Elsa Jacquemot – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Rouen, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
61%69%
1st serve points won
63% (31/49)59% (24/41)
2nd serve points won
42% (13/31)33% (6/18)
Break Points Saved
7/103/8
1st return points won
41% (17/41)37% (18/49)
2nd return points won
67% (12/18)58% (18/31)
Break Points Converted
5/83/10
Service Points Won
55% (44/80)51% (30/59)
Return Points Won
49% (29/59)45% (36/80)
Total Points Won
53% (73/139)47% (66/139)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
03
Service games won
70% (7/10)44% (4/9)
Return games won
56% (5/9)30% (3/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Tatjana Maria
30.1%
Elsa Jacquemot
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 64.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Elsa Jacquemot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tatjana Maria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elsa Jacquemot than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elsa Jacquemot, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tatjana Maria - Elsa Jacquemot Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (2.72)

    1.36
    (1.44)
    5.2%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Tatjana Maria - Elsa Jacquemot?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Jacquemot will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jacquemot: 57.1%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacquemot (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Maria is ranked WTA: 61. Jacquemot is ranked WTA: 59.
    • Maria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Jacquemot is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Jacquemot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Jacquemot is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Jacquemot will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tatjana Maria - Elsa Jacquemot were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Elsa Jacquemot - Tatjana Maria 2:1
    Latest results of Tatjana Maria
    Latest results of Elsa Jacquemot
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Parry D.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Volynets K.2 : 1
    3Rakhimova K.Kalieva E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Kasatkina D.Li A. (5)1 : 2
    5Baptiste H. (4)Ponchet J. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shymanovich I. (Q)Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Blinkova A.Salkova D. (LL)0 : 2
    8Maria T.Jacquemot E. (9)2 : 0
    9Cocciaretto E. (7)Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Stephens S. (WC)Podrez V. (Q)0 : 2
    11Timofeeva M. (LL)Boulter K.0 : 2
    12Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)Cristian J. (3)1 : 2
    13Tan H. (LL)Bondar A.1 : 2
    14Oliynykova O.Tagger L.2 : 1
    15Paquet C. (Q)Wang Xin. (Q)1 : 2
    16Ferro F. (WC)Cirstea S. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)McNally C.2 : 1
    2Rakhimova K.Li A. (5)1 : 2
    3Baptiste H. (4)Shymanovich I.1 : 2
    4Salkova D.Maria T.0 : 2
    5Cocciaretto E. (7)Podrez V.1 : 2
    6Boulter K.Cristian J. (3)2 : 1
    7Bondar A.Oliynykova O.2 : 1
    8Wang Xin. (RET.)Cirstea S. (2)0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Li A. (5)2 : 1
    2Shymanovich I.Maria T.0 : 2
    3Podrez V.Boulter K.2 : 0
    4Bondar A.Cirstea S. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Maria T.2 : 0
    2Podrez V. (WO.)Cirstea S. (2)

    Final
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Podrez V.2 : 0