Elva vs Nõmme United U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
19/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
57
Corner kicks
06
Red cards
10
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
710
Corner kicks
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Haabma K. , Paju A. (A),
  • 34', Laaneots D. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Tomingas K. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, MIhelson S. ,
  • 84', 1 - 3, Radomskiy A. ,

Chances of winning


Elva
39.7%
Draw
21.9%
Nõmme United U21
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 23.1% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 23.1% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elva's form might have worsened.
  • Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme United U21's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elva - Nõmme United U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (1.88)
    4.1
    (3.93)
    2.35
    (3.19)
    11.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 3)
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Elva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Elva could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Elva
    09.04.2026 Tallinna Kalev - Elva 2:1
    03.04.2026 Elva - Viimsi JK 1:0
    21.03.2026 Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21 3:2
    07.03.2026 FC Tallinn - Elva 1:1
    Latest results of Nõmme United U21
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tartu Welco971130:111922
    2Flora U21860225:131218
    3Viimsi JK952215:8717
    4Nomme Utd U21842218:15314
    5Tallinna Kalev932419:19011
    6Elva932417:18-111
    7Nomme Kalju U21931515:24-910
    8FC Tallinn923416:26-109
    9Maardu913510:25-156
    10Levadia U21920715:21-66

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