Elva vs Tallinna Kalev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Estonian Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Usta T. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Ilves E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 54', Usta T. (Pen),
  • 90', 1 - 2, Udebuluzor M. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Elva
25%
Draw
22.9%
Tallinna Kalev
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.7% 22.6% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 21.6% 56.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Elva - Tallinna Kalev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.8)
    4.01
    (4)
    1.76
    (1.68)
    9.1%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Elva - Tallinna Kalev?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 0.
    • Elva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kalev is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kalev is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elva won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 3:26. (average 0.3:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elva - Tallinna Kalev were as follows:
    29.01.2023 Elva - Tallinna Kalev 0:0
    Latest results of Elva
    27.10.2025 Tartu Welco - Elva 3:2
    23.10.2025 Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva 2:1
    19.10.2025 Elva - FC Tallinn 1:0
    04.10.2025 Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 0:1
    27.09.2025 Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva 0:3
    Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1FloraBye
    3KohvileBye
    4ByeHelm
    5LevadiaBye
    7Flora U18Bye
    8ByeFlora U21
    9Tabasalu UlasabatBye
    10ByeEston Villa
    11Harju JK LaagriBye
    12ByeTransferWise
    13Tallinna WolvesSoccernet6 : 4
    14ByeRaasiku Joker
    15Nomme UtdBye
    16ByeHarju JK Laagri III
    17Saue LaagriBye
    18ByeMaksatransport
    19Tartu Welco 2Bye
    20ByeNarva
    21Lootus JK JarveBye
    22JK ArsenalRae Spordikool2 : 4
    23FC TallinnBye
    24ByeZealot Sporting
    25Johvi PhoenixBye
    26ByeKose II
    28ByeKalju
    29Viimsi JKBye
    30ByeTalTech
    31TamperBye
    32ByeRumori Calcio
    33KoseBye
    34ByeKuressaare
    36ByePaide
    37Flora U19Bye
    38ByeVastseliina Tannem
    39TammekaBye
    40ByeTabasalu
    41Tartu KalevElva1 : 2
    42ByeLegion
    43Viimsi LovidBye
    44ByeTallinna Smsraha
    45Tallinna Kalev IIIBye
    46ByeEstHam United
    47HiiumaaBye
    48ByeTallinna Kalev
    49Tallinna FC ZapoosBye
    50Hell HuntLootos2 : 0
    51RaplamaaSaku Sporting1 : 5
    52Marjamaa KompaniiKubik4 : 0
    53Parnu JK VaprusBye
    54Olympic TallinnTulevik0 : 6
    55Jarva-JaaniBye
    56Keila JKKallaste United5 : 2
    57Maardu AliensBye
    58ByeJK Poseidon
    59Tallinna Kalev U21Vana Hea Puur6 : 0
    60HaapsaluKohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond2 : 1
    61Tartu WelcoKuusalu Kalev16 : 0
    62ByeTartu Helios
    63Arukula VigriBye
    64ByeKristiine

    1/32-finals
    1FloraBye
    2KohvileHelm0 : 4
    3LevadiaBye
    4Flora U18Flora U211 : 12
    5Tabasalu UlasabatEston Villa13 : 0
    6Harju JK LaagriTransferWise26 : 0
    7Tallinna WolvesRaasiku Joker3 : 4
    8Nomme UtdHarju JK Laagri III5 : 1
    9Saue LaagriMaksatransport6 : 1
    10Tartu Welco 2Narva0 : 8
    11Lootus JK JarveRae Spordikool1 : 10
    12FC TallinnZealot Sporting7 : 1
    13Johvi Phoenix (WO.)Kose II
    14ByeKalju
    15Viimsi JKTalTech7 : 1
    16TamperRumori Calcio4 : 2
    17KoseKuressaare0 : 7
    18ByePaide
    19Flora U19 (WO.)Vastseliina Tannem
    20TammekaTabasalu6 : 0
    21ElvaLegion3 : 0
    22Viimsi LovidTallinna Smsraha0 : 7
    23Tallinna Kalev IIIEstHam United9 : 0
    24HiiumaaTallinna Kalev0 : 3
    25Tallinna FC ZapoosHell Hunt7 : 0
    26Saku SportingMarjamaa Kompanii3 : 2
    27Parnu JK VaprusTulevik13 : 0
    28Jarva-JaaniKeila JK1 : 4
    29Maardu AliensJK Poseidon1 : 4
    30Tallinna Kalev U21Haapsalu2 : 0
    31Tartu WelcoTartu Helios3 : 0
    32Arukula VigriKristiine0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1FloraHelm14 : 0
    2LevadiaFlora U214 : 0
    3Tabasalu UlasabatHarju JK Laagri0 : 3
    4Raasiku JokerNomme Utd1 : 4
    5Saue LaagriNarva0 : 4
    6Rae SpordikoolFC Tallinn0 : 9
    7Johvi PhoenixKalju1 : 6
    8Viimsi JKTamper4 : 1
    9KuressaarePaide1 : 2
    10Flora U19Tammeka1 : 8
    11ElvaTallinna Smsraha3 : 2
    12Tallinna Kalev IIITallinna Kalev1 : 8
    13Tallinna FC ZapoosSaku Sporting3 : 0
    14Parnu JK VaprusKeila JK9 : 0
    15JK PoseidonTallinna Kalev U211 : 0
    16Tartu WelcoKristiine8 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1FloraLevadia3 : 1
    2Harju JK LaagriNomme Utd0 : 1
    3NarvaFC Tallinn6 : 0
    4KaljuViimsi JK0 : 1
    5PaideTammeka3 : 0
    6ElvaTallinna Kalev1 : 2
    7Tallinna FC ZapoosParnu JK Vaprus2 : 4
    8JK PoseidonTartu Welco0 : 6

    Quarter-finals
    1FloraNomme Utd3 : 1
    2NarvaViimsi JK4 : 3
    3PaideTallinna Kalev6 : 0
    4Parnu JK VaprusTartu Welco2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FloraNarva
    2PaideParnu JK Vaprus

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2