Hamburger SV vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg).

2. Bundesliga - Round 27
Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 10
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	0.67
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
86% (416/483)	79% (285/360)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.62	0.33
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
9	7
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
26	24
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
10	12
Passes
86% (416/483)	79% (285/360)
Long passes
44% (18/41)	54% (29/54)
Passes in final third
69% (76/110)	59% (44/75)
Crosses
24% (8/33)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.12	1.02
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
50% (11/22)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
57	50
Clearances Total
29	36
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.33	0.62
Goals prevented
0.33	0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Damar M. 🟨,
62', Karabec A. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
62', Damar M. ↓, Zimmerschied T. ↑,
69', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Schonlau S. ↑,
69', Sahiti E. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
70', Reis L. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
75', Schnellbacher L. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
83', Selke D. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
85', Sahin S. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
87', Petkov L. 🟨,
90+5', Baum E. 🟨,
90+7', Polzin M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Hamburger SV
52.7%

Draw
23.8%

Elversberg
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

23.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Hamburger SV - Elversberg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	3.94 ↓ (3.98)	4.06 ↓ (4.26)	6% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Elversberg?

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (55 of 58 users predict this - 94.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.13% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 9).
Hamburg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Elversberg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Hamburg is a favorite.
There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Soumahoro A. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Durholtz L. (Injury) Jakel F. (Knee Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Elversberg?

Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Hamburger SV?

Elversberg has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Elversberg were as follows:

26.10.2024 Elversberg - Hamburger SV 4:2

25.02.2024 Hamburger SV - Elversberg 1:0

16.09.2023 Elversberg - Hamburger SV 2:1

Latest results of Hamburger SV

14.03.2025 Magdeburg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺

08.03.2025 Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf 4:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Paderborn - Hamburger SV 2:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Hamburger SV - Kaiserslautern 3:0 ✺

16.02.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Elversberg

15.03.2025 Elversberg - Preußen Münster 0:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Kaiserslautern - Elversberg 1:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Elversberg - Hertha Berlin 4:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Ulm 1846 - Elversberg 0:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Elversberg - Greuther Fürth 2:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arminia Bielefeld	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
2	Darmstadt	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
3	Hannover	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Braunschweig	2	2	0	0	4:2	2	6
5	Karlsruher SC	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
6	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
7	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	5:5	0	3
8	Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
9	Schalke	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
10	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
11	Bochum	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
12	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
13	Preussen Munster	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1
14	Hertha Berlin	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
15	SG Dynamo Dresden	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0
16	Nurnberg	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
17	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0
18	Dusseldorf	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga