Elvina Kalieva vs Lea Ma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Tampico Challenger Women Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma
Result
Ma L. retired
15/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tampico, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
72%71%
1st Serve Points Won
46% (6/13)64% (16/25)
2nd Serve Points Won
60% (3/5)30% (3/10)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)100% (4/4)
1st Return Points Won
36% (9/25)54% (7/13)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (7/10)40% (2/5)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/4)14% (1/7)
Service Points Won
50% (9/18)54% (19/35)
Return Points Won
46% (16/35)50% (9/18)
Total Points Won
47% (25/53)53% (28/53)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (1/2)100% (2/2)
Return Games Won
0% (0/2)50% (1/2)
Total Games Won
25% (1/4)75% (3/4)

Chances of winning


Elvina Kalieva
48.8%
Lea Ma
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.74)

    1.82
    (2)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kalieva will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ma will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kalieva is ranked WTA: 243. Ma is ranked WTA: 349.
    • Kalieva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Kalieva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kalieva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma were as follows:
    19.03.2025 Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma 0:2
    Latest results of Elvina Kalieva
    Latest results of Lea Ma
    14.10.2025 Lea Ma - Amelia Rajecki 2:0
    12.10.2025 Lea Ma - Francesca Pace 1:2
    11.10.2025 Lea Ma - Krisha Mahendran 2:1
    10.10.2025 Lea Ma - Madison Sieg 2:0
    09.10.2025 Lea Ma - Ema Burgic 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Dolehide C. (1)Cherubini D. (RET.)1 : 1
    2Giavara H. (Q)Scott K. (Q)0 : 2
    3Pieri J.Portillo Ramirez M. J.2 : 0
    4Bektas E.Cross K. (7)0 : 2
    5Lepchenko V. (3)Kalieva E.0 : 2
    6Ma L.Rajecki A.2 : 0
    7Novak K. (Q)Kung L.0 : 2
    8Chang H.Brace C. (6)0 : 2
    9Vandewinkel H. (5)Mandlik E.2 : 0
    10Hinojosa Gomez J.Andrianjafitrimo T.0 : 2
    11Lee G.Tikhonova A.1 : 2
    12Smith A.Stakusic M. (4)1 : 2
    13Dart H. (8)Strakhova V.2 : 0
    14Rodriguez V.Plekhanova D. (Q)0 : 2
    15Yamalapalli S.Stephens S.2 : 0
    16Karatancheva L.Marcinko P. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dolehide C. (1)Scott K.1 : 2
    2Pieri J.Cross K. (7)2 : 0
    3Kalieva E.Ma L. (RET.)0 : 0
    4Kung L.Brace C. (6)0 : 2
    5Vandewinkel H. (5)Andrianjafitrimo T.2 : 0
    6Tikhonova A.Stakusic M. (4)0 : 2
    7Dart H. (8)Plekhanova D. (RET.)0 : 0
    8Yamalapalli S.Marcinko P. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Scott K.Pieri J.1 : 2
    2Kalieva E.Brace C. (6)1 : 2
    3Vandewinkel H. (5)Stakusic M. (4)2 : 0
    4Dart H. (8)Marcinko P. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pieri J.Brace C. (6)1 : 2
    2Vandewinkel H. (5)Dart H. (RET.) (8)1 : 0

    Final
    1Brace C. (6)Vandewinkel H. (5)0 : 2