Result
0:2
05/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 80% (20/25) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 56% (9/16) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 50% (2/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 63% (15/24) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 65% (13/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 86% (6/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (16/44) | 73% (27/37) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (10/37) | 64% (28/44) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (26/81) | 68% (55/81) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 75% (12/16) |
Chances of winning
Elvina Kalieva
37.6% | Polona Hercog
62.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elvina Kalieva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elvina Kalieva's form might have worsened.Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polona Hercog's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elvina Kalieva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polona Hercog, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Elvina Kalieva - Polona Hercog Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2) |
|
1.51 ↓
(1.73) |
7.1%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Elvina Kalieva - Polona Hercog?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kalieva (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hercog (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Kalieva is ranked WTA: 206. Hercog is ranked WTA: 672.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Hercog may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hercog is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kalieva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Elvina Kalieva won against Polona Hercog?
Elvina Kalieva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Polona Hercog won against Elvina Kalieva?
Polona Hercog has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elvina Kalieva - Polona Hercog were as follows:
Latest results of Elvina Kalieva
Latest results of Polona Hercog
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Maria T. (1) | Burillo Escorihuela I. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Reasco Gonzalez M. E. (WC) | Strakhova V. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Giovannini L. | Mediorreal A. V. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Varela-Alvarado T. (Alt) | Chwalinska M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Udvardy P. (4) | Cherubini D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Samson L. | Ortenzi J. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Romero C. (WC) | Zolotareva A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Herrero Linana A. | Papamichail D. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Erjavec V. (5) | Tikhonova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Akli A. | Pigossi L. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Nahimana S. | Vargas V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Vedder E. | Jeanjean L. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Lepchenko V. (7) | Alves C. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Kalieva E. | Bulgaru M. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Sorribes Tormo S. | Hercog P. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Colmegna M. (Q) | Oliynykova O. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Maria T. (1) | Reasco Gonzalez M. E. (WO.) | |
| 2 | Giovannini L. | Chwalinska M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Udvardy P. (4) | Samson L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Zolotareva A. | Papamichail D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Erjavec V. (5) | Pigossi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Nahimana S. | Jeanjean L. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lepchenko V. (7) | Kalieva E. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hercog P. | Oliynykova O. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Reasco Gonzalez M. E. | Giovannini L. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Udvardy P. (4) | Papamichail D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Erjavec V. (5) | Jeanjean L. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Kalieva E. | Hercog P. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Giovannini L. | Papamichail D. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Jeanjean L. (3) | Hercog P. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Giovannini L. | Hercog P. | 0 : 2 |
