Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 26
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (89/122) | 83% (156/189) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (89/122) | 83% (156/189) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 56% (14/25) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 66% (23/35) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 33% (2/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Alcivar J. (A),
- 36', Angulo J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ibarra R. ↓, Santamaria T. ↑,
- 47', Cuero Palacio J. R. 🟨,
- 56', Quintero S. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 66', Sornoza J. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
- 71', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
- 77', Pata E. ↓, Loor L. ↑,
- 81', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 81', Mendez J. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
- 81', Gonzalez A. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 83', Alcivar J. 🟨,
- 84', Carabajal M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec
29.9% | Draw
30.7% | Independiente del Valle
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Emelec have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Emelec - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↓
(3.12) |
3.01 ↓
(3.11) |
2.36 ↑
(2.33) |
8.3%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 1.
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Emelec has had a series of away games.
- Ind del Valle will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Independiente del Valle?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Emelec?
Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
04.05.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Emelec
1:2
14.09.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Emelec
2:1
31.03.2024
Emelec
-
Independiente del Valle
0:0
30.09.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Emelec
2:1
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 | Macara | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 | Aucas | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 28:44 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
