Result
2:0
19/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 5
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (47/62) | 83% (63/76) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (47/62) | 83% (63/76) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 27% (3/11) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Guerrico I. ⚽,
- 20', Guerrico I. 🟨,
- 24', Sornoza J. 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 0, Caicedo R. ⚽,
- 30', Mercado P. 🟨,
- 31', Perello M. 🟨,
- 36', Griffith V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Perello M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 46', Mendez J. ↓, Ochoa Y. ↑,
- 46', Cortez G. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 67', Reasco D. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
- 67', Mercado P. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
- 69', Klimowicz L. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
- 70', Leguizamon A. 🟨,
- 74', Bolanos M. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
- 74', Pizzini F. ↓, Quintero S. ↑,
- 81', Leguizamon A. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
- 81', Mina A. ↓, Napoli G. ↑,
- 86', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Napoli G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Leon F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec
27.7% | Draw
29.7% | Independiente del Valle
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Emelec - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↓
(3.57) |
3.12 ↑
(3.09) |
2.18 ↑
(2.08) |
7.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
Independiente del Valle will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente del Valle will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 1.
- Ind del Valle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Independiente del Valle?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Emelec?
Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
24.08.2025
Emelec
-
Independiente del Valle
0:1
04.05.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Emelec
1:2
14.09.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Emelec
2:1
31.03.2024
Emelec
-
Independiente del Valle
0:0
30.09.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Emelec
2:1
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Libertad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Tecnico U | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Delfin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Aucas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Orense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Emelec | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Manta | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Leones del Norte | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
