Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.00 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Castelli F. ⚽,
- 43', Arroyo J. P. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 1, Hoyos M. ⚽, Cortez G. (A),
- 60', Zabala C. ↓, Cazares ↑,
- 60', Hoyos M. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 60', Munoz E. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
- 60', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 77', Sornoza J. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
- 77', Ruiz J. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
- 85', Castelli F. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 85', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 90', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Valencia C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
63.5% | Draw
21.9% | Emelec
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente del Valle's form might have worsened.Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emelec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente del Valle - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.32) |
4.19 ↓
(5) |
6.44 ↓
(9.15) |
8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Emelec will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 4.
- Ind del Valle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Emelec's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Emelec?
Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Independiente del Valle?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Emelec were as follows:
14.09.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Emelec
2:1
31.03.2024
Emelec
-
Independiente del Valle
0:0
30.09.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Emelec
2:1
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
