Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 30
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/380) | 74% (199/269) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (321/380) | 74% (199/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 38% (15/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (85/127) | 64% (58/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Velasco P. 🟨,
- 45+2', Molina N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Caicedo R. 🟨,
- 63', Bianchi O. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 69', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 72', Burgoa V. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 76', Solis M. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 76', Ayovi J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 86', Quinonez S. ↓, Mina S. ↑,
- 86', Mena A. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 90+1', Gonzalez A. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
- 90+1', Cevallos J. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orense
44.1% | Draw
31.6% | Emelec
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orense's performance.Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orense - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.5) |
2.96 ↑
(2.82) |
3.84 ↑
(3) |
6.4%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Emelec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Orense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Emelec?
Orense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Orense?
Emelec has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Emelec were as follows:
31.05.2025
Emelec
-
Orense
1:0
01.09.2024
Emelec
-
Orense
2:1
25.03.2024
Orense
-
Emelec
1:1
13.08.2023
Emelec
-
Orense
0:0
05.03.2023
Orense
-
Emelec
2:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
