Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 4
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (328/389) | 79% (204/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (328/389) | 79% (204/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (25/42) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (106/149) | 65% (49/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Mena A. 🟥,
- 6', Quinonez O. 🟨,
- 11', Leguizamon A. 🟨,
- 17', Leon F. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Quinonez O. ⚽, Burgoa V. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Caicedo R. ⚽, Guerrico I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mina A. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
- 46', Leguizamon A. ↓, Segura E. ↑,
- 56', Pizzini F. ↓, Bolanos M. ↑,
- 62', Bermudez M. ↓, Charpentier P. ↑,
- 63', Burgoa V. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 65', Cevallos J. ↓, Napoli G. ↑,
- 67', Napoli G. 🟨,
- 74', Quinonez O. ↓, Mina S. ↑,
- 77', Guerrico I. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
- 81', Jaramilo R. ↓, Pluas E. ↑,
- 81', Herrera A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Bolanos M. ⚽, Griffith V. (A),
- 87', Griffith V. 🟨,
- 90+5', Velasco P. 🟥,
- 90+6', Charpentier P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec
45.2% | Draw
29.4% | Orense
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Emelec - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.17) |
3.12 ↓
(3.13) |
3.66 ↑
(3.19) |
7.9%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - Orense?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Orense (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 2.
- Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Emelec might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 0.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Orense?
Emelec has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Emelec?
Orense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Orense were as follows:
28.09.2025
Orense
-
Emelec
0:0
31.05.2025
Emelec
-
Orense
1:0
01.09.2024
Emelec
-
Orense
2:1
25.03.2024
Orense
-
Emelec
1:1
13.08.2023
Emelec
-
Orense
0:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Macara | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Libertad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Delfin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Tecnico U | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Manta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Aucas | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Orense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Emelec | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
