Emelec vs Orense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Emelec - Orense
Result
1:0
31/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 15
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.64
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
82% (311/377)84% (350/416)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.08
Total shots
108
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
82% (311/377)84% (350/416)
Long passes
39% (16/41)58% (21/36)
Passes in final third
68% (70/103)76% (73/96)
Crosses
17% (4/24)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.57
Throw-ins
1312
Fouls
1317
Tackles
60% (12/20)86% (12/14)
Duels won
5144
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.080.98
Goals prevented
0.08-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Ayovi J. 🟨,
  • 37', Velasco P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Parrales M. , Caicedo B. ,
  • 58', Valverde J. , Mejia M. ,
  • 69', Ruiz J. , Fragozo L. ,
  • 73', Munoz E. , Garces R. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Ayovi J. , Solis M. (A),
  • 75', Olinick A. , Vasquez S. ,
  • 78', Quinonez S. 🟨,
  • 87', Ayovi J. , Valverde J. ,
  • 89', Molina N. , Coronel D. ,
  • 90+4', Achilier G. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Meli M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Emelec
36.2%
Draw
31.9%
Orense
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 30.7% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 31.2% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emelec's form might have worsened.
  • Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emelec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Emelec - Orense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.15)
    2.89
    (3.03)
    2.92
    (3.58)
    7.6%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Emelec - Orense?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Orense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 1.
    • Emelec is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Orense were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Emelec - Orense 2:1
    25.03.2024 Orense - Emelec 1:1
    13.08.2023 Emelec - Orense 0:0
    05.03.2023 Orense - Emelec 2:1
    09.10.2022 Emelec - Orense 0:0
    Latest results of Emelec
    Latest results of Orense
    24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1
    17.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Orense 2:5
    09.05.2025 Orense - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0
    04.05.2025 Delfín - Orense 0:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2Barcelona SC21115533:25838
    3LDU Quito21107437:211637
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )