Emiliana Arango vs Jessika Ponchet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Saint Malo Challenger Women Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet
Result
0:2
02/05/2024 at 06:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Saint Malo (France), clay - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Lara M. (Fra)

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
65%50%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (17/30)78% (21/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (6/16)44% (12/27)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
22% (6/27)43% (13/30)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (15/27)63% (10/16)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)80% (4/5)
Max Points In Row
1112
Service Points Won
50% (23/46)62% (34/55)
Return Points Won
38% (21/55)50% (23/46)
Total Points Won
44% (44/101)56% (57/101)
Max Games In Row
35
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Emiliana Arango
61.8%
Jessika Ponchet
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emiliana Arango's performance.
  • Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessika Ponchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emiliana Arango that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessika Ponchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (2.02)

    2.49
    (1.74)
    6.1%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arango will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ponchet will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arango: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arango is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Ponchet is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ponchet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Arango will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Arango won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet were as follows:
    17.10.2023 Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet 2:0
    27.06.2023 Emiliana Arango - Jessika Ponchet 2:1
    Latest results of Emiliana Arango
    Latest results of Jessika Ponchet
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kessler M. (1)Bartashevich Y. (Q)2 : 0
    2Andrianjafitrimo T. (Q)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)1 : 2
    3Parrizas-Diaz N.Paquet C.0 : 2
    4Janicijevic S.Golubic V. (7)0 : 2
    5Volynets K. (3)Zakharova A.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Lepchenko V.0 : 2
    7Naef C.Cakarevic S. (Q)2 : 1
    8Juvan K.Minnen G. (5)2 : 1
    9Noha Akugue N. (LL)Ferro F.1 : 2
    10Wei S.Dartron E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Jeanjean L.Boisson L. (WC)2 : 1
    12Leonard M.Dolehide C. (4)1 : 2
    13Gadecki O. (6)Mboko V.2 : 1
    14Jacquemot E.Stakusic M.2 : 1
    15Ponchet J.Parry D.0 : 2
    16Marcinko P.Osaka N. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kessler M. (1)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.2 : 0
    2Paquet C.Golubic V. (7)1 : 2
    3Volynets K. (3)Lepchenko V.2 : 0
    4Naef C.Juvan K.1 : 2
    5Ferro F.Dartron E.2 : 0
    6Jeanjean L.Dolehide C. (4)2 : 1
    7Gadecki O. (6)Jacquemot E.0 : 2
    8Parry D.Osaka N. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kessler M. (1)Golubic V. (7)0 : 2
    2Volynets K. (3)Juvan K.1 : 2
    3Ferro F.Jeanjean L.0 : 2
    4Jacquemot E.Osaka N. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Golubic V. (7)Juvan K.0 : 2
    2Jeanjean L.Osaka N. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Juvan K.Osaka N. (2)0 : 2