Emilio Nava vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Emilio Nava - Vilius Gaubas
Result
2:0
26/09/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
90
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
71%66%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (37/48)78% (31/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (8/20)38% (8/21)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)67% (6/9)
1st Return Points Won
28% (11/40)31% (15/48)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (13/21)60% (12/20)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)20% (1/5)
Max Points In Row
64
Service Points Won
66% (44/67)60% (36/60)
Return Points Won
40% (24/60)34% (23/67)
Total Points Won
54% (68/127)46% (59/127)
Max Games In Row
31
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Emilio Nava
40.5%
Vilius Gaubas
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emilio Nava's form might have worsened.
  • Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emilio Nava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Emilio Nava - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.84)

    1.56
    (1.84)
    7.8%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Emilio Nava - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Gaubas will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nava is ranked ATP: 190. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 183.
    • Recent matches Nava is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gaubas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Nava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Gaubas will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Emilio Nava
    17.09.2024 Rigele Te - Emilio Nava 2:0
    11.08.2024 Emilio Nava - Kevin King 2:0
    10.08.2024 Emilio Nava - Patrick Schoen Schoen P. retired
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2