Donna Vekic vs Emma Navarro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
6	3
Double Faults
4	3
1st Serve Percentage
64%	60%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (46/63)	65% (28/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (17/36)	66% (19/29)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)	57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
35% (15/43)	27% (17/63)
2nd Return Points Won
34% (10/29)	53% (19/36)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)	25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
64% (63/99)	65% (47/72)
Return Points Won
35% (25/72)	36% (36/99)
Total Points Won
51% (88/171)	49% (83/171)
Last 10 Balls
8	2
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)	77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)	7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
59% (16/27)	41% (11/27)

Chances of winning

Donna Vekic
30.6%

Emma Navarro
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donna Vekic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Donna Vekic's form might have worsened.

Emma Navarro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emma Navarro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donna Vekic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Donna Vekic - Emma Navarro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.64)		1.38 ↓ (1.49)	4.9% (5%)

What is the prediction for Donna Vekic - Emma Navarro?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vekic will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Navarro will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vekic: 49.9% – 90.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vekic (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Vekic is ranked WTA: 21. Navarro is ranked WTA: 10.
Both players are now playing unstable.
Vekic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Navarro is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Vekic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Donna Vekic won against Emma Navarro?

Donna Vekic has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Emma Navarro won against Donna Vekic?

Emma Navarro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Donna Vekic - Emma Navarro were as follows:

10.03.2025 Emma Navarro - Donna Vekic 0:2

01.03.2023 Emma Navarro - Donna Vekic 0:2

Latest results of Donna Vekic

24.04.2025 Donna Vekic - Hailey Baptiste 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Donna Vekic - Jana Fett 0:2 ✺

20.03.2025 Donna Vekic - Rebeka Masarova 0:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Donna Vekic - Madison Keys 1:2 ✺

10.03.2025 Emma Navarro - Donna Vekic 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Emma Navarro

24.04.2025 Maya Joint - Emma Navarro 0:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Emma Navarro - Jelena Ostapenko 1:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Emma Navarro - Beatriz Haddad Maia 2:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Amanda Anisimova - Emma Navarro 2:0 ✺

03.04.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Emma Navarro 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Blinkova A. (Q)	Udvardy P. (Q)	2 : 0
3	Arango E. (WC)	Osorio C.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Mertens E. (28)
5	Putintseva Y. (22)	Bye
6	Tomljanovic A. (WC)	Masarova R. (Q)	1 : 2
7	Stearns P.	Birrell K.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Anisimova A. (15)
9	Bucsa C. (LL)	Bye
10	Kudermetova V.	Kudermetova P.	2 : 0
11	Lamens S.	Raducanu E.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Kostyuk M. (24)
13	Kenin S. (32)	Bye
14	Sun L.	Gracheva V.	2 : 1
15	Krueger A.	Potapova A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Zheng Q. (8)
17	Pegula J. (3)	Bye
18	Lys E.	Kostovic T. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Uchijima M.	Montgomery R. (WC)	2 : 1
20	Bye	Jabeur O. (26)
21	Alexandrova E. (21)	Bye
22	Azarenka V.	Danilovic O.	0 : 2
23	Parks A.	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Kasatkina D. (14)
25	Rybakina E. (10)	Bye
26	Kessler M.	Andreescu B.	0 : 2
27	Cristian J.	Kartal S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Svitolina E. (17)
29	Linette M. (29)	Bye
30	Wang Xin.	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
31	Boulter K.	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
32	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
33	Andreeva M. (7)	Bye
34	Zarazua R.	Bouzkova M.	1 : 2
35	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Sherif M.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Frech M. (27)
37	Samsonova L. (18)	Bye
38	Avanesyan E.	Dolehide C.	0 : 2
39	Starodubtseva Y. (Q)	Fruhvirtova L. (WC)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Cocciaretto E. (LL)
41	Haddad Maia B. (16)	Bye
42	Pera B. (LL)	Fett J. (Q)	2 : 0
43	Bencic B.	Sonmez Z. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tauson C. (20)
45	Fernandez L. (25)	Bye
46	Sasnovich A. (Q)	Li A.	0 : 2
47	Jones F. (Q)	Yastremska D.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
49	Keys M. (5)	Bye
50	Osaka N.	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
51	Parry D. (Q)	Begu I.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (30)
53	Vekic D. (19)	Bye
54	Cirstea S.	Baptiste H. (WC)	1 : 2
55	Joint M. (Q)	Martinez Cirez C. (WC)	2 : 1
56	Bye	Navarro E. (11)
57	Shnaider D. (13)	Bye
58	Volynets K.	Kvitova P.	2 : 0
59	Sevastova A.	Pavlyuchenkova A.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (23)
61	Noskova L. (31)	Bye
62	Carle M. L. (Q)	Sramkova R.	2 : 0
63	Tomova V.	Eala A. (WC)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Mertens E. (28)	0 : 2
3	Putintseva Y. (22)	Masarova R.	0 : 2
4	Stearns P.	Anisimova A. (15)	2 : 1
5	Bucsa C.	Kudermetova V.	1 : 2
6	Raducanu E.	Kostyuk M. (24)	1 : 2
7	Kenin S. (32)	Sun L.	2 : 0
8	Potapova A.	Zheng Q. (8)	2 : 0
9	Pegula J. (3)	Lys E.	2 : 0
10	Uchijima M.	Jabeur O. (26)	2 : 1
11	Alexandrova E. (21)	Danilovic O.	2 : 0
12	Parks A.	Kasatkina D. (14)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (10)	Andreescu B.	2 : 0
14	Kartal S.	Svitolina E. (17)	0 : 2
15	Linette M. (29)	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
16	Boulter K.	Paolini J. (6)	0 : 2
17	Andreeva M. (7)	Bouzkova M.	2 : 0
18	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Frech M. (27)	1 : 2
19	Samsonova L. (18)	Dolehide C.	2 : 0
20	Starodubtseva Y.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
21	Haddad Maia B. (16)	Pera B.	2 : 1
22	Bencic B.	Tauson C. (20)	2 : 0
23	Fernandez L. (25)	Li A.	1 : 2
24	Yastremska D.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
25	Keys M. (5)	Bronzetti L.	2 : 0
26	Parry D.	Kalinskaya A. (30)	0 : 2
27	Vekic D. (19)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
28	Joint M.	Navarro E. (11)	0 : 2
29	Shnaider D. (13)	Volynets K.	2 : 0
30	Sevastova A.	Ostapenko J. (23)	2 : 0
31	Noskova L. (31)	Carle M. L.	2 : 0
32	Eala A.	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Mertens E. (28)	2 : 1
2	Masarova R.	Stearns P.	0 : 2
3	Kudermetova V.	Kostyuk M. (24)	1 : 2
4	Kenin S. (32)	Potapova A.	1 : 2
5	Pegula J. (3)	Uchijima M.	0 : 2
6	Alexandrova E. (21)	Kasatkina D. (14)	2 : 0
7	Rybakina E. (10)	Svitolina E. (17)	0 : 2
8	Sakkari M.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Andreeva M. (7)	Frech M. (27)	2 : 0
10	Samsonova L. (18)	Starodubtseva Y.	1 : 2
11	Haddad Maia B. (16)	Bencic B.	1 : 2
12	Li A.	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Keys M. (5)	Kalinskaya A. (30)	2 : 0
14	Vekic D. (19)	Navarro E. (11)	2 : 1
15	Shnaider D. (13)	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
16	Noskova L. (31)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Stearns P.	2 : 0
2	Kostyuk M. (24)	Potapova A.	2 : 0
3	Uchijima M.	Alexandrova E. (21)	2 : 0
4	Svitolina E. (17)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
5	Andreeva M. (7)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
6	Bencic B.	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
7	Keys M. (5)	Vekic D. (19)	2 : 0
8	Shnaider D. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kostyuk M. (24)	2 : 0
2	Uchijima M.	Svitolina E. (17)	0 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (7)	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
4	Keys M. (5)	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Svitolina E. (17)	2 : 0
2	Gauff C. (4)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Gauff C. (4)

2 : 0