Result
0:2
22/06/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 67% (26/39) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (14/39) | 48% (11/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 63% (5/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (13/39) | 43% (20/47) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 64% (25/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 46% (6/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (41/86) | 60% (37/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 52% (45/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (66/148) | 55% (82/148) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 65% (13/20) |
Chances of winning
Marta Kostyuk
45.4% | Emma Navarro
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Emma Navarro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emma Navarro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marta Kostyuk - Emma Navarro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.3) |
|
1.75 ↑
(1.62) |
5%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Emma Navarro?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Navarro will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navarro: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emma Navarro will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 26. Navarro is ranked WTA: 9.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Navarro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Navarro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Marta Kostyuk won against Emma Navarro?
Marta Kostyuk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emma Navarro won against Marta Kostyuk?
Emma Navarro has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marta Kostyuk - Emma Navarro were as follows:
16.06.2025
Marta Kostyuk
-
Emma Navarro
0:2
30.08.2024
Emma Navarro
-
Marta Kostyuk
2:1
09.08.2024
Emma Navarro
-
Marta Kostyuk
2:0
Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
Latest results of Emma Navarro
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kudermetova V. (LL) | Siniakova K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. (WC) | Danilovic O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kostyuk M. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Frech M. | Tauson C. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Tomljanovic A. (Q) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Vekic D. | Shnaider D. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Bencic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Putintseva Y. | Sakkari M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Azarenka V. (Q) | Siegemund L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Swiatek I. (4) | |
| 13 | Svitolina E. (7) | Mertens E. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Krueger A. (LL) | Haddad Maia B. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fernandez L. | Maria T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osaka N. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (3) | Tauson C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Noskova L. | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Azarenka V. | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Svitolina E. (7) | Haddad Maia B. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fernandez L. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Navarro E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Andreeva M. (3) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Haddad Maia B. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Noskova L. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Swiatek I. (4) | Paolini J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Swiatek I. (4) | 2 : 0 |
