Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/02/2026 at 20:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
25
1st serve percentage
63%63%
1st serve points won
68% (27/40)60% (26/43)
2nd serve points won
57% (13/23)52% (13/25)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)42% (5/12)
1st return points won
44% (19/43)33% (13/40)
2nd return points won
48% (12/25)43% (10/23)
Break Points Converted
58% (7/12)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
46% (31/68)39% (24/62)
Return Points Won
61% (38/62)54% (37/68)
Total Points Won
53% (69/130)47% (61/130)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (5/10)30% (3/10)
Return games won
70% (7/10)50% (5/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Shuai Zhang
31.6%
Emma Navarro
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shuai Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shuai Zhang's form might have worsened.
  • Emma Navarro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emma Navarro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shuai Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Navarro than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emma Navarro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shuai Zhang - Emma Navarro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (2.38)

    1.43
    (1.57)
    1.1%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Shuai Zhang - Emma Navarro?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Navarro will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navarro: 67.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emma Navarro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zhang is ranked WTA: 86. Navarro is ranked WTA: 20.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Navarro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Navarro might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zhang won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shuai Zhang - Emma Navarro were as follows:
    07.10.2025 Emma Navarro - Shuai Zhang 1:2
    26.09.2024 Emma Navarro - Shuai Zhang 0:2
    Latest results of Shuai Zhang
    Latest results of Emma Navarro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.2 : 1
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)2 : 0
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.2 : 0
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Hon P.2 : 0
    2Boulter K.Osorio C. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Li A. (3)Sonmez Z.1 : 2
    4Bucsa C.Stakusic M.2 : 0
    5Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Frech M.0 : 2
    6Arango E. (RET.)Bouzkova M. (4)1 : 1
    7Linette M. (8)Jimenez Kasintseva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang S.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Boulter K.2 : 1
    2Sonmez Z.Bucsa C.0 : 2
    3Frech M.Bouzkova M. (4)2 : 1
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Zhang S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bucsa C.0 : 2
    2Frech M.Zhang S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Bucsa C.Frech M.2 : 1