Empoli vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli).

ITALY: Serie A - Round 28
Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.12	1.99
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Goal Attempts
3	16
Shots on Goal
1	7
Shots off Goal
1	6
Blocked Shots
1	3
Big Chances
0	6
Corner Kicks
1	9
Shots inside the Box
1	10
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
Free Kicks
10	12
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
12	10
Throw-ins
17	25
Touches in the Opposition Box
4	28
Passes
79% (284/360)	88% (568/642)
Passes in the final third
61% (46/75)	75% (112/149)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	33% (6/18)
Tackles
62% (13/21)	60% (6/10)
Clearances Total
30	19
Interceptions
8	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Soule M. ⚽, Salah-Eddine A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Colombo L. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
46', De Sciglio M. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
64', Abdulhamid S. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
65', Salah-Eddine A. ↓, Angelino ↑,
65', Paredes L. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
67', Henderson L. ↓, Kovalenko V. ↑,
67', Esposito Se. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
72', Shomurodov E. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
81', Soule M. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
87', Goglichidze S. ↓, Campaniello T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Empoli
24.3%

Draw
28.9%

Roma
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

26%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

25.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Empoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Empoli - Roma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.89)	3.31 ↓ (3.68)	2.06 ↑ (1.76)	4.1% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : FOX Deportes

What is the prediction for Empoli - Roma?

Users Predictions: Roma will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2.
Empoli is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Roma in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Roma have a series of home games.
Roma will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Roma: Mancini G. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Empoli: Anjorin F. (Thigh Injury) Fazzini J. (Thigh Injury) Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury) Maleh Y. (Injury) Solbakken O. (Shoulder Injury) Viti M. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 12:35 (average 0.8:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.9:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Roma?

Empoli has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Empoli?

Roma has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Roma were as follows:

25.08.2024 Roma - Empoli 1:2

26.05.2024 Empoli - Roma 2:1

17.09.2023 Roma - Empoli 7:0

04.02.2023 Roma - Empoli 2:0

12.09.2022 Empoli - Roma 1:2

Latest results of Empoli

02.03.2025 Genoa - Empoli 1:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Juventus - Empoli 1:2 ✺

23.02.2025 Empoli - Atalanta 0:5 ✺

16.02.2025 Udinese - Empoli 3:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Empoli - Milan 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Roma

06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Roma - Como 2:1 ✺

24.02.2025 Roma - Monza 4:0 ✺

20.02.2025 Roma - Porto 3:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Parma - Roma 0:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	31	23	3	5	71:26	45	72
2	Napoli	31	20	5	6	47:30	17	65
3	AC Milan	31	18	9	4	47:24	23	63
4	Como	31	16	10	5	53:22	31	58
5	Juventus	31	16	9	6	54:29	25	57
6	AS Roma	31	17	3	11	42:28	14	54
7	Atalanta	31	14	11	6	44:27	17	53
8	Bologna	31	13	6	12	40:37	3	45
9	Lazio	31	11	11	9	32:29	3	44
10	Sassuolo	31	12	6	13	38:41	-3	42
11	Udinese	31	11	7	13	35:42	-7	40
12	Torino	31	10	6	15	35:53	-18	36
13	Parma	31	8	11	12	22:39	-17	35
14	Genoa	31	8	9	14	36:44	-8	33
15	Fiorentina	31	7	11	13	36:44	-8	32
16	Cagliari	31	7	9	15	32:44	-12	30
17	Cremonese	31	6	9	16	26:46	-20	27
18	Lecce	31	7	6	18	21:43	-22	27
19	Verona	31	3	9	19	22:53	-31	18
20	Pisa	31	2	12	17	23:55	-32	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B