Energie Cottbus vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
28/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFranceNew World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
hungaryHungarySport 1
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
spainSpainGol Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.75
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
88
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
82% (285/348)89% (502/566)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.852.26
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2435
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
118
Passes
82% (285/348)89% (502/566)
Long passes
61% (35/57)64% (34/53)
Passes in final third
70% (66/94)78% (105/135)
Crosses
11% (2/18)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.50
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
811
Tackles
58% (11/19)65% (22/34)
Duels won
3965
Clearances
1927
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
2.260.85
Goals prevented
-1.74-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Bakayoko J. , Orban W. (A),
  • 28', 0 - 2, Baumgartner C. , Raum D. (A),
  • 33', Biankadi M. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 3, Baumgartner C. , Raum D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Awortwie-Grant N. , Campulka T. ,
  • 46', Biankadi M. , Engelhardt E. ,
  • 46', Baumgartner C. , Schlager X. ,
  • 47', Baku R. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 4, Banzuzi E. , Baku R. (A),
  • 60', Butler J. , Moustfa C. Y. ,
  • 61', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
  • 63', Romulo Cardoso , Harder C. ,
  • 63', Nusa A. , Gomis T. ,
  • 64', Baku R. , Klostermann L. ,
  • 72', Seiwald N. , Maksimovic A. ,
  • 72', Lucoqui A. , Guwara L. ,
  • 72', Rorig H. , Straudi S. ,
  • 86', 1 - 4, Engelhardt E. , Borgmann A. (A),
  • 90+3', Raum D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Energie Cottbus
6.5%
Draw
11%
RB Leipzig
82.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 19% 67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 18.2% 70.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Energie Cottbus's form might have worsened.
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Energie Cottbus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Energie Cottbus - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    17.06
    (7)
    9.45
    (5)
    1.18
    (1.41)
    1.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Energie Cottbus - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cottbus will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 65%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is the undisputed favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Energie Cottbus
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    25.10.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:6
    18.10.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 2:1
    27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2