Result
0:7
03/10/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 3
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | SuperSport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | A Spor, DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Nova TV |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Estonia | Go3 Extra Sports |
 Europe | UEFA TV |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | L'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Alpha TV, Nova Sports Prime |
 Hungary | TV2 Play Premium |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI |
 Ireland | Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Sky Sport Uno |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Lithuania | Go3 Extra Sports |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | A Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 6.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (363/422) | 92% (682/745) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 6.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 6.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 48 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (363/422) | 92% (682/745) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (15/39) | 59% (23/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (71/93) | 79% (157/199) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 4.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 6.88 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.05 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 8', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
- 21', 0 - 2, Bellingham J. ⚽, Gordon A. (A),
- 39', 0 - 3, Gordon A. ⚽, Quansah J. (A),
- 45', 0 - 4, Saka B. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Musa P. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 46', Sucic P. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
- 46', Baturina M. ↓, Vlasic N. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 5, Kane H. ⚽, Anderson E. (A),
- 57', Modric L. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 6, Saka B. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
- 68', Kovacic M. 🟨,
- 70', Gordon A. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
- 70', Scott A. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
- 70', Kane H. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
- 76', Stanisic J. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
- 79', Anderson E. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
- 79', Hall L. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 7, Rogers M. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
Chances of winning
Croatia
20.2% | Draw
24.1% | England
55.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Croatia's form might have worsened.England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting England's recent form is better than expected.
Croatia - England Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.75 ↑
(3.6) |
3.96 ↑
(3.6) |
1.71 ↓
(1.95) |
4.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Croatia - England?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - England (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
England will win
(39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.21% – 92.29%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): England will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. England (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Croatia is ranked FIFA: 13., and England is ranked FIFA: 4..
- Bookmakers give the edge to England for this game.
- Confirmed absences for Croatia: Erlic M.
(Injury)
Juranovic J.
(Injury)
Stanisic J.
(Illness).
- Confirmed absences for England: Burn D.
(Ankle Injury)
Henderson D.
(Foot Injury)
James R.
(Muscle Injury)
Livramento V.
(Injury)
Mainoo K.
(Injury)
O'Reilly N.
(Injury)
Palmer C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rashford M.
(Health problems)
Rice D.
(Injury)
Spence D.
(Injury)
Stones J.
(Injury).
- In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Croatia has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
How many head-to-head matches has Croatia won against England?
Croatia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has England won against Croatia?
England has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Croatia - England were as follows:
17.06.2026
England
-
Croatia
4:2
Latest results of Croatia
Latest results of England
UEFA Nations League Table
League AGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Spain ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugal ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
UEFA Nations League (Relegation ~ League A/B: )
Relegation ~ UEFA Nations League (League B: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Spain is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Portugal is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
