England W vs Italy W, UEFA Euro Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Euro Women England W - Italy W
Result
2:1 ET
22/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Martincic I. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaRTSH Sport
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmenia1TV
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport, Stan Sport
austriaAustriaORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumBNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaBNT 1, BNT 3
canadaCanadaRDS, TSN+
colombiaColombiaESPN 2, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaHRT 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusRIK 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
denmarkDenmarkTV3, Viaplay
estoniaEstoniaETV 2
finlandFinlandViaplay, YLE Areena, YLE TV2
franceFranceFree, Molotov TV, TF 1, TMC
georgiaGeorgia1TV, 1TV Player
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceERT 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
icelandIcelandRUV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
italyItalyRAI 2, RaiPlay
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
latviaLatviaLTV 7
lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
moldovaMoldovaTVR Moldova
montenegroMontenegroTVCG 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, Sporza
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMRT 1, MRT Play
norwayNorwayTV2, TV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaTVR+, TVR Sport
serbiaSerbiaRTS 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSlovenia TV2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainRTVE Play, Teledeporte
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, SVT 1, SVT Play, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.921.12
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
83% (482/578)76% (325/427)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.921.12
xG on target (xGOT)
2.420.88
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
196
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
5819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
922
Passes
83% (482/578)76% (325/427)
Long passes
66% (51/77)53% (40/75)
Passes in final third
73% (180/245)63% (63/100)
Crosses
31% (16/51)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.33
Throw-ins
4327
Fouls
229
Tackles
59% (13/22)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5970
Clearances
3273
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.882.42
Goals prevented
-0.120.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Bonansea B. , Cantore S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', James L. , Mead B. ,
  • 64', Girelli C. , Piemonte M. ,
  • 73', Cantore S. , Cambiaghi M. ,
  • 73', Bonansea B. , Severini E. ,
  • 74', Giuliani L. 🟨,
  • 74', Soncin A. 🟨,
  • 77', Stanway G. , Kelly C. ,
  • 85', Williamson L. , Agyemang M. ,
  • 85', Russo A. , Beever-Jones A. ,
  • 88', Linari E. 🟨,
  • 89', Giugliano M. , Greggi G. ,
  • 89', Lenzini M. , Piga J. ,
  • 90+2', Morgan E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cambiaghi M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Agyemang M. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 106', Walsh K. , Clinton G. ,
  • 119', Kelly C. (Pen),
  • 119', 2 - 1, Kelly C. ,
  • 120+1', Greenwood A. , Carter J. ,
  • 120+4', Mead B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


England W
59%
Draw
24%
Italy W
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 21.2% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 20.3% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • England W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for England W than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for England W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy W than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • England W - Italy W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.51)
    3.93
    (4.47)
    5.62
    (5.91)
    5.5%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for England W - Italy W?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. England will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Italy will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for England: 63.4%93.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. England (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, England is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that England will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, England won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between England W - Italy W were as follows:
    27.02.2024 Italy W - England W 1:5
    19.02.2023 England W - Italy W 2:1
    Latest results of England W
    17.07.2025 Sweden W - England W 2:3
    13.07.2025 England W - Wales W 6:1
    09.07.2025 England W - Netherlands W 4:0
    05.07.2025 France W - England W 2:1
    29.06.2025 England W - Jamaica W 7:0
    Latest results of Italy W
    16.07.2025 Norway W - Italy W 1:2
    11.07.2025 Italy W - Spain W 1:3
    07.07.2025 Portugal W - Italy W 1:1
    03.07.2025 Belgium W - Italy W 0:1
    03.06.2025 Wales W - Italy W 1:4
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)2 : 1