Result
2:3 penalties
17/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Euro Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 4, Sporty TV, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
Albania | RTSH Sport |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1 |
Australia | Optus Sport |
Austria | ORF 1 |
Belgium | RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | BHT 1 |
Bulgaria | BNT 3 |
Canada | TSN 1, TSN 4 |
Croatia | HRT 2 |
Czech-republic | CT sport |
Denmark | TV3, Viaplay |
Finland | YLE Areena, YLE TV2 |
France | TMC |
Georgia | 1TV |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | ERT 2 |
Hungary | M4 Sport |
Ireland | RTE 2, RTE Player |
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | NPO 1 |
North-macedonia | MRT 1 |
Norway | NRK 1, NRK TV |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | TVP Sport |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | RTS 2 |
Slovakia | STVR Sport |
Spain | RTVE Play |
Sweden | SVT 1, SVT Play, Viaplay |
Switzerland | Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, Suspilne Sport |
United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.04 | 2.50 |
Ball Possession |
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40% | 60% |
Total shots |
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14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Passes |
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59% (214/365) | 74% (398/536) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.04 | 2.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.74 | 2.06 |
Total shots |
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14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 10 |
Shots inside the Box |
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13 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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32 | 35 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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18 | 15 |
Passes |
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59% (214/365) | 74% (398/536) |
Long passes |
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30% (27/91) | 45% (41/92) |
Passes in final third |
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45% (63/140) | 63% (116/184) |
Crosses |
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23% (5/22) | 25% (10/40) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.73 | 1.21 |
Throw-ins |
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39 | 51 |
Fouls |
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15 | 18 |
Tackles |
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53% (9/17) | 48% (11/23) |
Duels won |
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84 | 83 |
Clearances |
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50 | 32 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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2.06 | 3.74 |
Goals prevented |
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0.06 | 1.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Asllani K. ⚽, Blackstenius S. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Blackstenius S. ⚽, Zigiotti Olme J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', Lundkvist H. ↓, Holmberg S. ↑,
- 70', Toone E. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
- 70', Carter J. ↓, Morgan E. ↑,
- 70', Stanway G. ↓, Agyemang M. ↑,
- 77', Asllani K. ↓, Hurtig L. ↑,
- 78', Rolfo F. ↓, Janogy M. ↑,
- 78', Hemp L. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Bronze L. ⚽, Kelly C. (A),
- 81', 2 - 2, Agyemang M. ⚽,
- 87', Agyemang M. 🟨,
- 89', Zigiotti Olme J. 🟨,
- 90', Kelly C. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 104', Walsh K. ↓, Clinton G. ↑,
- 106', Kaneryd J. ↓, Jakobsson S. ↑,
- 106', Andersson J. ↓, Nilden A. ↑,
- 106', Williamson L. ↓, Charles N. ↑,
- 117', Blackstenius S. ↓, Blomqvist R. ↑,
- Penalties (2 - 3)
- 1, Russo A. (Pen),
- 1, Angeldal F. (Pen),
- 2, James L. (Pen),
- 2, Zigiotti Olme J. (Pen),
- 3, Mead B. (Pen),
- 3, Eriksson M. (Pen),
- 4, Greenwood A. (Pen),
- 4, Bjorn N. (Pen),
- 5, Kelly C. (Pen),
- 5, Falk J. (Pen),
- 6, Clinton G. (Pen),
- 6, Jakobsson S. (Pen),
- 7, Bronze L. (Pen),
- 7, Holmberg S. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sweden W 32.2% | Draw 29.7% | England W 38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sweden W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sweden W's performance.England W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and England W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sweden W than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sweden W that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for England W than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that England W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sweden W - England W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.04 ↓ (3.5) |
3.34 ↓ (3.42) |
2.64 ↑ (2.08) |
0.7% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sweden W - England W?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Sweden will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). England will win (votes: 15 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for England: 32.1% – 67.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sweden (votes: 2 - 40%). England (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 2.
- Sweden has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, England has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- England is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sweden W won against England W?
Sweden W has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has England W won against Sweden W?
England W has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sweden W - England W were as follows:
16.07.2024
Sweden W
-
England W
0:0
05.04.2024
England W
-
Sweden W
1:1
Latest results of Sweden W
Latest results of England W
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals1 | Sweden W (C1) | England W (D2) | 2 : 3 |
2 | Norway W (A1) | Italy W (B2) | 1 : 2 |
3 | France W (D1) | Germany W (C2) | 1 : 2 |
4 | Spain W (B1) | Switzerland W (A2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | England W (D2) | Italy W (B2) | 2 : 1 |
2 | Germany W (C2) | Spain W (B1) | 0 : 1 |
Final1 | England W (D2) | Spain W (B1) | 2 : 1 |