Envigado vs Boyacá Chicó – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.32	0.49
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	2
Passes
75% (247/331)	72% (182/252)
Yellow Cards
6	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.32	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.03	0.61
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	2
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
13	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	16
Passes
75% (247/331)	72% (182/252)
Long passes
45% (29/65)	32% (20/62)
Passes in final third
48% (48/99)	56% (44/79)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	0.26
Throw-ins
21	16
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
75% (9/12)	50% (3/6)
Duels won
42	39
Clearances
12	24
Interceptions
3	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.61	0.03
Goals prevented
-1.39	-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
29', Quejada J. 🟨,
38', Saldana A. 🟨,
42', Ampudia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Berrio F. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
62', Aristizabal J. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Molina J. ⚽, Arango E. (A),
67', Uribe N. 🟨,
68', Molina J. 🟨,
69', Valencia Mosquera D. A. 🟨,
70', Lopez E. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
70', Aristizabal J. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
71', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
73', Soto T. 🟨,
75', Arango E. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
79', Hurtado W. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Molina J. ⚽,
86', Molina J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
86', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
86', Londono K. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
88', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 🟨,
90+1', Valencia A. 🟥,
90+4', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/u6y23kxm

Chances of winning

Envigado
45%

Draw
30.3%

Boyacá Chicó
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Envigado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Envigado - Boyacá Chicó Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.87)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	3.82 ↓ (4.21)	6.4% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Envigado - Boyacá Chicó?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Envigado (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 1.
Recent performances by Envigado have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Boyacá Chicó is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Envigado could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Boyacá Chicó?

Envigado has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Envigado?

Boyacá Chicó has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Boyacá Chicó were as follows:

05.05.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Envigado 1:0

18.08.2024 Boyacá Chicó - Envigado 0:0

01.02.2024 Envigado - Boyacá Chicó 2:0

01.09.2023 Boyacá Chicó - Envigado 1:0

18.03.2023 Envigado - Boyacá Chicó 0:1

Latest results of Envigado

21.10.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Envigado 1:1 ✺

17.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Envigado 3:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Envigado 1:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Envigado - Deportivo Pereira 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Boyacá Chicó

17.10.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe 0:0 ✺

13.10.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó 1:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Nacional 1:1 ✺

26.09.2025 Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó 5:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira 1:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	17	10	4	3	29:13	16	34
2	Atl. Nacional	17	8	7	2	32:21	11	31
3	Junior	17	9	4	4	31:21	10	31
4	Ind. Medellin	17	9	4	4	36:27	9	31
5	Fortaleza	17	8	7	2	23:16	7	31
6	Deportes Tolima	17	9	2	6	22:15	7	29
7	Llaneros	17	7	4	6	16:16	0	25
8	Aguilas	17	6	6	5	26:23	3	24
9	America De Cali	17	6	5	6	18:16	2	23
10	Alianza	17	6	5	6	21:21	0	23
11	Santa Fe	17	5	7	5	17:16	1	22
12	Once Caldas	17	6	4	7	19:23	-4	22
13	Millonarios	17	6	3	8	20:24	-4	21
14	Dep. Cali	17	5	5	7	21:25	-4	20
15	Pereira	17	4	6	7	18:24	-6	18
16	U. Magdalena	17	5	3	9	20:27	-7	18
17	Envigado	17	3	7	7	14:20	-6	16
18	Chico	17	3	7	7	13:23	-10	16
19	Dep. Pasto	17	2	7	8	19:27	-8	13
20	La Equidad	17	2	5	10	9:26	-17	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )