Rionegro Águilas vs Envigado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.81
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
79% (240/302)	72% (165/230)
Yellow Cards
4	7
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	0.15
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
11	8
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
7	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
17	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
79% (240/302)	72% (165/230)
Long passes
52% (28/54)	40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
74% (103/140)	53% (35/66)
Crosses
27% (8/30)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.41
Throw-ins
21	20
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
91% (10/11)	90% (9/10)
Duels won
37	30
Clearances
25	30
Interceptions
3	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.31	0.86
Goals prevented
0.31	-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Holguin J. 🟨,
27', Hernandez D. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
41', Cuervo S. 🟨,
43', Salazar T. 🟨,
45', Aristizabal J. 🟨,
45+3', Quejada J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Mena J. 🟨,
47', Puerta M. 🟨,
61', Puerta M. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
62', Aristizabal J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
68', Avalo Trejos J. E. 🟨,
70', Espana Alvarez R. C. ↓, Berrio F. ↑,
73', Lozano F. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
86', Lopez E. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', Montoya J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Obregon J. (Pen),
90+1', Hurtado W. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
90+1', Garces J. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
90+2', Palacios D. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3f4atahk

Chances of winning

Rionegro Águilas
59.1%

Draw
24.9%

Envigado
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Rionegro Águilas - Envigado Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	3.72 ↓ (3.86)	5.73 ↑ (4.8)	7.1% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Envigado?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rionegro Águilas will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rionegro Águilas will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.
Rionegro Águilas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Rionegro Águilas is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Envigado?

Rionegro Águilas has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Rionegro Águilas?

Envigado has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Envigado were as follows:

07.09.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 1:1

15.06.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 2:0

10.05.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 0:2

23.03.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Envigado 1:0

24.10.2024 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 3:0

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

24.10.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas 1:5 ✺

18.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar 1:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto 2:2 ✺

08.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Envigado

25.10.2025 Envigado - Boyacá Chicó 0:2 ✺

21.10.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Envigado 1:1 ✺

17.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Envigado 3:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Envigado 1:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Envigado - Deportivo Pereira 2:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter Bogotu00e1	8	5	2	1	14:12	2	17
2	Atl. Nacional	6	5	0	1	15:4	11	15
3	Dep. Pasto	8	4	3	1	9:8	1	15
4	America De Cali	7	4	1	2	11:5	6	13
5	Once Caldas	8	3	4	1	13:10	3	13
6	Deportes Tolima	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12
7	Junior	7	4	0	3	12:10	2	12
8	Bucaramanga	7	2	5	0	10:4	6	11
9	Dep. Cali	8	3	2	3	10:7	3	11
10	Aguilas	7	3	2	2	9:8	1	11
11	Llaneros	8	2	4	2	9:8	1	10
12	Santa Fe	9	2	4	3	10:12	-2	10
13	Fortaleza	8	2	4	2	9:12	-3	10
14	Jaguares de Cordoba	7	3	1	3	8:13	-5	10
15	Millonarios	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8
16	Ind. Medellin	8	1	4	3	10:12	-2	7
17	Cucuta	8	1	3	4	12:16	-4	6
18	Pereira	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4
19	Chico	8	1	1	6	7:13	-6	4
20	Alianza	7	0	3	4	3:14	-11	3

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )