Result
1:0
28/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
- Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (240/302) | 72% (165/230) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (240/302) | 72% (165/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (28/54) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (103/140) | 53% (35/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Holguin J. 🟨,
- 27', Hernandez D. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
- 41', Cuervo S. 🟨,
- 43', Salazar T. 🟨,
- 45', Aristizabal J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Quejada J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Mena J. 🟨,
- 47', Puerta M. 🟨,
- 61', Puerta M. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
- 62', Aristizabal J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 68', Avalo Trejos J. E. 🟨,
- 70', Espana Alvarez R. C. ↓, Berrio F. ↑,
- 73', Lozano F. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
- 86', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 87', 🟨,
- 90', Montoya J. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 0, Obregon J. (Pen),
- 90+1', Hurtado W. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
- 90+1', Garces J. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
- 90+2', Palacios D. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3f4atahk
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas
59.1% | Draw
24.9% | Envigado
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Rionegro Águilas - Envigado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.62) |
3.72 ↓
(3.86) |
5.73 ↑
(4.8) |
7.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Envigado?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rionegro Águilas will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rionegro Águilas will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.
- Rionegro Águilas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rionegro Águilas is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Envigado?
Rionegro Águilas has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Rionegro Águilas?
Envigado has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Envigado were as follows:
07.09.2025
Envigado
-
Rionegro Águilas
1:1
15.06.2025
Envigado
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:0
10.05.2025
Envigado
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:2
23.03.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Envigado
1:0
24.10.2024
Envigado
-
Rionegro Águilas
3:0
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Envigado
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
