Belchite vs Épila – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17 Belchite - Épila
Result
0:1
01/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 20

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 76', 0 - 1, Ferruz Matute C. ,
  • 90+5', Losfablos de Castro D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Belchite
34%
Draw
31.7%
Épila
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.3% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 28% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belchite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belchite's form might have worsened.
  • Épila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Épila's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belchite than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belchite, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épila than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Épila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Belchite - Épila Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.14)
    2.85
    (3.1)
    2.64
    (3.19)
    10.6%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).
    • Belchite is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Épila is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Belchite could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Belchite have a series of home games.
    • Belchite will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Belchite to win the game is with odds 2.14.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Belchite won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.4:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Belchite won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belchite - Épila were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Épila - Belchite 0:2
    04.02.2024 Belchite - Épila 0:1
    16.09.2023 Épila - Belchite 2:0
    Latest results of Belchite
    18.01.2025 Belchite - Fuentes 4:0
    12.01.2025 Belchite - Utrillas 2:0
    05.01.2025 Calamocha - Belchite 0:2
    06.12.2024 Belchite - Almudévar 0:0
    Latest results of Épila
    25.01.2025 La Almunia - Épila 2:1
    19.01.2025 Épila - Tamarite 1:2
    12.01.2025 Épila - Fuentes 1:0
    04.01.2025 Utrillas - Épila 3:2
    21.12.2024 Épila - Calamocha 0:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2