Result
0:2
21/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 56% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 71% (20/28) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 41% (9/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/11 | 2/4 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 46% (17/37) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 63% (17/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/4 | 6/11 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 67% (4/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (30/64) | 58% (29/50) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 53% (34/64) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (51/114) | 55% (63/114) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 75% (6/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 67% (6/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Ergi Kirkin
42.6% | Gilles Arnaud Bailly
57.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ergi Kirkin's performance.Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gilles Arnaud Bailly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ergi Kirkin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gilles Arnaud Bailly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ergi Kirkin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.7) |
|
1.63 ↑
(1.4) |
6.9%
(8.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Kirkin is ranked ATP: 589. Bailly is ranked ATP: 208.
- Kirkin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bailly has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bailly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Bailly will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ergi Kirkin won against Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Ergi Kirkin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gilles Arnaud Bailly won against Ergi Kirkin?
Gilles Arnaud Bailly has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ergi Kirkin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly were as follows:
Latest results of Ergi Kirkin
Latest results of Gilles Arnaud Bailly
