Ergi Kirkin vs Marcello Serafini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Santa Margherita Di Pula Men Ergi Kirkin - Marcello Serafini
Result
0:2
29/03/2024 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
26

Chances of winning


Ergi Kirkin
57%
Marcello Serafini
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ergi Kirkin's form might have worsened.
  • Marcello Serafini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcello Serafini's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcello Serafini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ergi Kirkin - Marcello Serafini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.49)

    2.16
    (2.47)
    7.3%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Now both players are in good shape.
    • Kirkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Kirkin will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ergi Kirkin
    Latest results of Marcello Serafini
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (1)Perfetti N.2 : 1
    2Tammaro M.Dhamne M.2 : 1
    3Ribecai M.Angelini L.2 : 0
    4Pieri S.Bondioli F. (7)0 : 2
    5Houkes M. (3)Bronzetti A.2 : 0
    6Ferrari F.Mesaglio M.2 : 1
    7Parizzia N.Panaras A.2 : 0
    8Crisostomo G.Oradini G. (8)0 : 2
    9Juarez F. (6)La Vela G.2 : 1
    10Miletich I.Ferrari G.0 : 2
    11Carboni L.Thurner N.2 : 0
    12Catini N.Weis A. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    13Lokoli L. (5)Piatti R.2 : 0
    14Figl M.Mencaglia S.0 : 2
    15Fellin P. O.Plunger M.2 : 0
    16Schiavone P.Stricker D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (1)Tammaro M.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F. (7)1 : 2
    3Houkes M. (3)Ferrari F.2 : 0
    4Parizzia N.Oradini G. (8)2 : 0
    5Juarez F. (6)Ferrari G.1 : 2
    6Carboni L.Catini N.2 : 0
    7Lokoli L. (5)Mencaglia S.2 : 0
    8Fellin P. O.Stricker D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (1)Bondioli F. (7)2 : 0
    2Houkes M. (3)Parizzia N.2 : 0
    3Ferrari G.Carboni L.2 : 0
    4Lokoli L. (5)Stricker D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (1)Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    2Ferrari G.Stricker D. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Houkes M. (3)Stricker D. (2)2 : 0