Erlangen vs Gummersbach – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Handball German Bundesliga Handball Erlangen - Gummersbach
Result
24:31
22/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 23

Chances of winning


Erlangen
31.3%
Draw
12.1%
Gummersbach
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 12.5% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 12.6% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erlangen's form might have worsened.
  • Gummersbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gummersbach's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erlangen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gummersbach than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gummersbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Erlangen - Gummersbach Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.44)
    7.66
    (7.36)
    1.66
    (1.85)
    7.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Erlangen won 0.
    • Erlangen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gummersbach is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Our prediction for today's Gummersbach to win the game is with odds 2.05.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Erlangen won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 409:408 (average 27.3:27.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Erlangen won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 199:196 (average 28.4:28).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erlangen - Gummersbach were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Gummersbach - Erlangen 28:24
    02.10.2024 Erlangen - Gummersbach 27:28
    31.03.2024 Erlangen - Gummersbach 31:34
    28.09.2023 Gummersbach - Erlangen 33:28
    07.05.2023 Gummersbach - Erlangen 32:31
    Latest results of Erlangen
    06.03.2025 TBV Lemgo - Erlangen 30:24
    02.03.2025 Erlangen - Hannover-Burgdorf 33:33
    20.02.2025 THW Kiel - Erlangen 28:24
    16.02.2025 Erlangen - HSV Hamburg 29:35
    Latest results of Gummersbach
    07.03.2025 Gummersbach - Bietigheim 37:27
    27.02.2025 HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach 30:37
    25.02.2025 Gummersbach - Tatabanya 33:27
    German Bundesliga Handball Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Kiel5500173:15210
    2SC Magdeburg5410169:1439
    3Flensburg-H5320182:1518
    4Gummersbach5401148:1378
    5Lemgo5311155:1437
    6Fuchse Berlin5302162:1506
    7Rhein-Neckar5302142:1406
    8Hamburg5212158:1585
    9Goppingen5131135:1405
    10Erlangen5122153:1524
    11Stuttgart5122148:1534
    12Eisenach5203143:1494
    13Hannover-Burgdorf5203150:1594
    14MT Melsungen5113140:1473
    15HSG Wetzlar5113137:1463
    16Minden5113132:1503
    17Leipzig5014138:1551
    18Bergischer5005140:1800

          Promotion ~ Champions League
          Promotion ~ European League
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga