Bandırmaspor vs Erokspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadyumu (Bandırma).

1. Lig - Round 11
Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	0.82
Ball Possession
24%	76%
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
63% (111/176)	89% (497/560)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	0.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	0.75
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
0	1
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
3	6
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
6	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
63% (111/176)	89% (497/560)
Long passes
34% (17/50)	41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
33% (15/45)	83% (189/228)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.17	0.99
Throw-ins
15	23
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
67% (4/6)	40% (2/5)
Duels won
23	28
Clearances
32	11
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.75	0.00
Goals prevented
0.75	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Niyaz R. ↓, Kacar T. ↑,
17', Yasar A. 🟨,
32', Hountondji C. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
40', Ndongala D. 🟥,
45+1', Douglas Tanque 🟨,
45+1', Douglas Tanque 🟥,
45+2', Nukan A. 🟨,
45+5', Albayrak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yasar A. ↓, Ulas O. ↑,
46', Okyar M. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
66', Lus B. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
78', Albayrak M. ↓, Esendemir Y. ↑,
78', Kalender T. ↓, Burgaz G. ↑,
79', Nzaba F. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
86', Karaman A. 🟨,
87', Ozcimen A. 🟨,
90+3', Gedik E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bandırmaspor
37.7%

Draw
27.5%

Erokspor
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

27.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Bandırmaspor aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Bandırmaspor - Erokspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.42)	3.38 ↓ (3.41)	2.7 (2.7)	7.8% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bandırmaspor - Erokspor?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bandırmaspor: 31.2% – 83%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Erokspor (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Erokspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Bandırmaspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Erokspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Mulumba R. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Turkmen C. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Bandırmaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Bandırmaspor won against Erokspor?

Bandırmaspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Bandırmaspor?

Erokspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bandırmaspor - Erokspor were as follows:

27.04.2025 Bandırmaspor - Erokspor 1:0

22.12.2024 Erokspor - Bandırmaspor 1:1

Latest results of Bandırmaspor

20.10.2025 İstanbulspor - Bandırmaspor 1:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor 2:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Hatayspor - Bandırmaspor 0:3 ✺

24.09.2025 Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK 1:4 ✺

19.09.2025 Serik Belediyespor - Bandırmaspor 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Erokspor

19.10.2025 Erokspor - Bodrumspor 1:1 ✺

03.10.2025 Boluspor - Erokspor 1:3 ✺

27.09.2025 Erokspor - Igdirspor 2:3 ✺

24.09.2025 Erokspor - İstanbulspor 5:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Manisa FK - Erokspor 3:4 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	28	17	9	2	60:19	41	60
2	Erokspor	28	17	8	3	67:22	45	59
3	Amedspor	28	16	7	5	58:32	26	55
4	Corum	28	15	5	8	44:31	13	50
5	Bodrumspor	28	14	6	8	58:29	29	48
6	Pendikspor	28	13	9	6	43:22	21	48
7	Igdir FK	28	12	8	8	38:37	1	44
8	Bandirmaspor	28	12	6	10	40:32	8	42
9	Keciorengucu	28	10	10	8	53:36	17	40
10	Manisa FK	28	11	7	10	42:41	1	40
11	Boluspor	28	11	5	12	47:40	7	38
12	Vanspor FK	28	10	8	10	39:32	7	38
13	Sivasspor	28	9	11	8	36:29	7	38
14	Istanbulspor AS	28	9	11	8	37:41	-4	38
15	Sariyer	28	10	5	13	30:35	-5	35
16	Umraniyespor	28	9	5	14	33:38	-5	32
17	Serik Spor	28	8	5	15	29:54	-25	29
18	Sakaryaspor	28	6	7	15	34:52	-18	25
19	Hatayspor	28	0	7	21	20:77	-57	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	28	0	3	25	16:125	-109	-39

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to