Result
1:1
12/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 30
- Referee: Demirbas A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (530/596) | 65% (131/201) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (530/596) | 65% (131/201) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (36/49) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (201/246) | 49% (29/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/42) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Alkan A. 🟥,
- 12', Fall M. ↓, Ozcimen A. ↑,
- 14', 1 - 0, Kayode O. ⚽, Niyaz R. (A),
- 45+6', Okyar M. 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 1, Douglas Tanque (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kehinde T. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 53', Niyaz R. 🟨,
- 63', Beyaz O. ↓, Kanga G. ↑,
- 63', Okyar M. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
- 70', Amaral J. 🟨,
- 70', Amaral J. ↓, Parmak A. ↑,
- 75', Amilton ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 75', Niyaz R. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
- 78', Aydin E. ↓, Ceylan O. ↑,
- 78', Gumuskaya M. ↓, Albayrak M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erokspor
65.2% | Draw
21.5% | Bandırmaspor
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erokspor's performance.Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bandırmaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)
Erokspor - Bandırmaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.59) |
4.33 ↑
(3.95) |
7.01 ↑
(4.99) |
7.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erokspor - Bandırmaspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Bandırmaspor (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Bandırmaspor (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erokspor will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Erokspor has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Bandırmaspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Erokspor is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Erokspor: Amilton
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T.
(Inactive)
Kalender T.
(Eye injury)
- There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Akyazi K.
(Injury)
Burgaz G.
(Injury)
Hountondji C.
(Injury)
- We predict that Erokspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Bandırmaspor?
Erokspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bandırmaspor won against Erokspor?
Bandırmaspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
26.10.2025
Bandırmaspor
-
Erokspor
0:0
27.04.2025
Bandırmaspor
-
Erokspor
1:0
22.12.2024
Erokspor
-
Bandırmaspor
1:1
Latest results of Erokspor
Latest results of Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
