Result
1:4
17/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 26
- Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (240/301) | 88% (469/531) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (240/301) | 88% (469/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (31/53) | 51% (22/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (46/78) | 82% (107/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.68 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Niyaz R. ⚽, Bilazer H. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Mert M. ⚽, Sambissa D. (A),
- 31', 1 - 2, Kanga G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Krstovski M. ↓, Phellipe ↑,
- 46', Sahin D. ↓, Cham A. ↑,
- 48', Mendy E. 🟨,
- 52', Cham A. 🟨,
- 61', Kanga G. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
- 61', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 67', Mert M. ↓, Tuncer T. ↑,
- 80', Amilton ↓, Lus B. ↑,
- 80', Niyaz R. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
- 81', Mamadou M. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
- 81', Sambissa D. ↓, Sahan O. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 3, Catakovic H. ⚽, Alic E. (A),
- 90', Okyar M. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
- 90+4', Mendy E. 🟨,
- 90+12', 1 - 4, Karaman A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
İstanbulspor
24.7% | Draw
25.3% | Erokspor
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
İstanbulspor - Erokspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↑
(3.56) |
3.65 ↑
(3.6) |
1.84 ↓
(1.87) |
8.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor - Erokspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Erokspor (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Erokspor will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Erokspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
- Recent performances by İstanbulspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Erokspor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- İstanbulspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, İstanbulspor has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Erokspor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aksu D.
(Knee Injury)
Aydin D.
(Knee Injury)
Ologo Inainfe M.
(Broken Leg)
Vardar B.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Dogan I.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbulspor won against Erokspor?
İstanbulspor has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against İstanbulspor?
Erokspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbulspor - Erokspor were as follows:
24.09.2025
Erokspor
-
İstanbulspor
5:0
04.05.2025
Erokspor
-
İstanbulspor
0:3
05.01.2025
İstanbulspor
-
Erokspor
4:0
18.12.2024
Erokspor
-
İstanbulspor
1:2
Latest results of İstanbulspor
Latest results of Erokspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
