Erokspor vs İstanbulspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Erokspor - İstanbulspor
Result
0:3
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 37
  • Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.48
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
82% (409/496)80% (271/340)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.631.69
Total shots
812
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1423
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
82% (409/496)80% (271/340)
Long passes
52% (33/63)36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
65% (60/92)70% (74/106)
Crosses
35% (6/17)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.82
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1310
Tackles
75% (12/16)41% (7/17)
Duels won
3945
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.690.63
Goals prevented
-1.310.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Gultekin E. , Loshaj F. (A),
  • 45', Fidan Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Aydin D. 🟨,
  • 54', Orak F. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Sambissa D. ,
  • 71', Oscar Pinchi 🟨,
  • 75', Furat E. I. , Kayode O. ,
  • 75', Oscar Pinchi , Catakovic H. ,
  • 75', Aydin D. , Sen K. ,
  • 75', Sambissa D. , Krstovski M. ,
  • 75', Loshaj F. , Sonmez K. ,
  • 76', Nzaba F. , Mert M. ,
  • 84', Diarra G. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 85', Fernandes J. , Toplu A. ,
  • 85', Laine J. , Aydogmus B. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 3, Gultekin E. , Ozer Y. (A),
  • 90+3', Gultekin E. , Duhaney D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erokspor
27.9%
Draw
26.1%
İstanbulspor
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.6% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 27.2% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erokspor's form might have worsened.
  • İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbulspor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erokspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbulspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Erokspor - İstanbulspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.76)
    3.55
    (3.39)
    2.02
    (2.44)
    7.9%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Erokspor - İstanbulspor?
  • Users Predictions: İstanbulspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • İstanbulspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • İstanbulspor might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in İstanbulspor: Vardar B. (Illness)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - İstanbulspor were as follows:
    05.01.2025 İstanbulspor - Erokspor 4:0
    18.12.2024 Erokspor - İstanbulspor 1:2
    Latest results of Erokspor
    27.04.2025 Bandırmaspor - Erokspor 1:0
    20.04.2025 Erokspor - Kocaelispor 3:1
    14.04.2025 Umraniyespor - Erokspor 1:1
    05.04.2025 Çorum - Erokspor 3:3
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Adana Demirspor00000:000
    2Istanbulspor AS00000:000
    3Sakaryaspor00000:000
    4Amedspor00000:000
    5Hatayspor00000:000
    6Pendikspor00000:000
    7Sariyer00000:000
    8Sivasspor00000:000
    9Boluspor00000:000
    10Vanspor FK00000:000
    11Bandirmaspor00000:000
    12Keciorengucu00000:000
    13Umraniyespor00000:000
    14Erzurumspor00000:000
    15Corum00000:000
    16Bodrumspor00000:000
    17Manisa FK00000:000
    18Erokspor00000:000
    19Serik Spor00000:000
    20Igdir FK00000:000

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation