Ertis Pavlodar vs Atyrau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 2
  • Referee: Chekhovsky G. (Kaz)

Match Stats

Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
07
Corner kicks
53
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
10
Total shots
817
Shots on target
07
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
24
Corner kicks
53
Offsides
30
Free kicks
29
Throw ins
199
Fouls
1612

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Nechaev D. , Sedko P. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Dorofeev K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Fedin M. 🟨,
  • 63', Dorofeev K. , Trufanov Y. ,
  • 67', Fedin M. , Agimanov T. ,
  • 75', Ibrahim F. 🟥,
  • 79', Sedko P. , Khadarkevich R. ,
  • 79', Omatay M. , Baybosynov N. ,
  • 81', Dzhumatov R. , Orynbasar D. ,
  • 88', Satanov S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Shvyrev V. , Turlybek M. ,
  • 90+3', Zharynbetov S. , Shimamura Y. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ertis Pavlodar
41.7%
Draw
28.1%
Atyrau
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 28.9% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Ertis Pavlodar - Atyrau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.37)
    3.27
    (3.22)
    3.05
    (2.91)
    8.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ertis Pavlodar - Atyrau?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Ertis (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Ertis Pavlodar will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ertis Pavlodar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ertis (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 4.
    • Ertis could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
    Latest results of Ertis Pavlodar
    Latest results of Atyrau
    08.03.2026 Atyrau - Ulytau 0:0
    20.02.2026 Arsenal Tula - Atyrau 3:1
    26.10.2025 Yelimay Semey - Atyrau 3:2
    18.10.2025 Atyrau - Zhenis 1:1
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kairat Almaty53207:1611
    2Yelimay Semey53208:3511
    3Okzhetpes53209:5411
    4Ordabasy52308:449
    5Kyzylzhar52218:448
    6FC Astana52217:618
    7Ulytau52215:418
    8Atyrau51404:227
    9Ertis Pavlodar51317:706
    10Zhetysu Taldykorgan51224:7-35
    11Aktobe41126:7-14
    12Kaisar Kyzylorda50321:5-43
    13Zhenis50322:8-63
    14Altai50232:5-32
    15Tobol50234:10-62
    16Kaspij Aktau40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League