Result
1:1
16/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 2
- Referee: Chekhovsky G. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Nechaev D. ⚽, Sedko P. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Dorofeev K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Fedin M. 🟨,
- 63', Dorofeev K. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
- 67', Fedin M. ↓, Agimanov T. ↑,
- 75', Ibrahim F. 🟥,
- 79', Sedko P. ↓, Khadarkevich R. ↑,
- 79', Omatay M. ↓, Baybosynov N. ↑,
- 81', Dzhumatov R. ↓, Orynbasar D. ↑,
- 88', Satanov S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Shvyrev V. ↓, Turlybek M. ↑,
- 90+3', Zharynbetov S. ↓, Shimamura Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ertis Pavlodar
41.7% | Draw
28.1% | Atyrau
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Ertis Pavlodar - Atyrau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.37) |
3.27 ↑
(3.22) |
3.05 ↑
(2.91) |
8.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ertis Pavlodar - Atyrau?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Ertis (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ertis Pavlodar will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ertis Pavlodar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ertis (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 4.
- Ertis could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ertis Pavlodar won against Atyrau?
Ertis Pavlodar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Ertis Pavlodar?
Atyrau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ertis Pavlodar - Atyrau were as follows:
Latest results of Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Kairat Almaty | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Kyzylzhar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Aktobe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Altai | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Zhenis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Kaspij Aktau | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Tobol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
