Ertis Pavlodar vs Shakhter Karagandy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh First Division Ertis Pavlodar - Shakhter Karagandy
Result
3:1
01/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • First League - Round 16

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Tungyshbaev E. , Buribaev N. (A),
  • 33', Vasiljev V. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Agimanov T. , Buribaev N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Israilov A. , Saidov E. ,
  • 46', Mukhametzhanov U. , Litosh A. ,
  • 63', Fedin M. , Kikbaev M. ,
  • 64', Torebek T. , Nyrkov D. ,
  • 64', Buribaev N. , Kenesov A. ,
  • 66', Galkin M. , Nusip A. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Kalybayev D. ,
  • 77', Altynkhan A. , Sagnaev S. ,
  • 80', Shymyrkhan S. 🟨,
  • 88', Zaynetdinov D. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Tungyshbaev E. , Vasiljev V. (A),
  • 90+1', Litosh A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Tungyshbaev E. , Gerasimov M. ,
  • 90+3', Vomenko V. , Esimov R. ,

Chances of winning


Ertis Pavlodar
60.4%
Draw
21%
Shakhter Karagandy
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 26% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 25.1% 20.3%

Ertis Pavlodar - Shakhter Karagandy Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.57
(1.7)
4.51
(3.45)
5.13
(4.25)
5.4%
(11.3%)
Preview Facts
  • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 1.
  • Ertis is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Shakhter Karagandy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Ertis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Ertis is a strong favorite.
  • We predict that Ertis will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
Latest results of Ertis Pavlodar
Latest results of Shakhter Karagandy