Result
0:2
22/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (505/568) | 81% (263/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (505/568) | 81% (263/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (34/49) | 49% (29/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (144/183) | 53% (25/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (12/43) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (18/18) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Baiye B. 🟨,
- 16', Bilazer H. 🟨,
- 32', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 1, Keser B. ⚽, Tozlu E. (A),
- 62', Faye M. 🟨,
- 65', Niyaz R. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 73', Akgun S. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
- 74', Keser B. ↓, Fettahoglu M. ↑,
- 76', Kayode O. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
- 76', Okyar M. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
- 81', Tozlu E. ↓, Yumlu M. ↑,
- 82', Rodriguez M. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
- 90+1', Crociata G. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Sylla C. ⚽, Baiye B. (A),
Chances of winning
Erokspor
45% | Draw
28.5% | Erzurumspor
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erokspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Erokspor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.92) |
3.22 ↓
(3.47) |
3.42 ↓
(3.72) |
8.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Erokspor - Erzurumspor?
Users Predictions:
Erokspor will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Erokspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Erokspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Erokspor: Nzaba F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Yigit E.
(Suspended)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).
- Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Erzurumspor?
Erokspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Erokspor?
Erzurumspor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
09.11.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Erokspor
1:1
16.02.2025
Erokspor
-
Erzurumspor
1:2
20.09.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Erokspor
2:0
08.11.2022
Erzurumspor
-
Erokspor
2:3
Latest results of Erokspor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
