Erzurumspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor
Result
2:0
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 37
  • Referee: Doman T. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.36
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
74% (227/305)78% (315/403)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.42
Total shots
89
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
74% (227/305)78% (315/403)
Long passes
39% (26/66)41% (26/63)
Passes in final third
52% (51/98)67% (73/109)
Crosses
27% (3/11)8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.39
Throw-ins
928
Fouls
1411
Tackles
46% (6/13)91% (10/11)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
2916
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.421.04
Goals prevented
0.42-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Hoti E. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Crociata G. ,
  • 30', Glumac T. 🟨,
  • 35', Sylla C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Tozlu E. ,
  • 49', Babacan A. 🟨,
  • 59', Babacan A. , Kaplan E. ,
  • 59', Hoti E. , Goksu S. ,
  • 68', Sylla C. , Akgun S. ,
  • 75', Teklic T. , Mamba S. ,
  • 76', Glumac T. , Celik B. ,
  • 81', Azubuike O. , Tas M. ,
  • 86', Soukou C. , Ekincier B. ,
  • 87', Yildirim O. , Bulbul A. T. ,
  • 90+2', Ekincier B. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzurumspor
52.6%
Draw
26.1%
Umraniyespor
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 25% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 27.4% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzurumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.73)
    3.54
    (3.75)
    4.38
    (4.51)
    7.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 0.
    • Erzurumspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Umraniyespor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Erzurumspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Erzurumspor is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Kocaturk Y. (Knee Injury) Oksuz B. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor 0:0
    05.05.2024 Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor 2:0
    20.12.2023 Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor 1:1
    Latest results of Erzurumspor
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corum33007:169
    2Vanspor FK22004:226
    3Erzurumspor21104:224
    4Pendikspor21103:124
    5Keciorengucu21103:124
    6Sakaryaspor21104:314
    7Serik Spor21101:014
    8Igdir FK21014:403
    9Manisa FK21013:303
    10Umraniyespor21012:203
    11Bodrumspor20202:202
    12Istanbulspor AS20200:002
    13Boluspor20113:4-11
    14Erokspor20112:3-11
    15Sariyer30123:5-21
    16Amedspor20112:4-21
    17Sivasspor20111:3-21
    18Bandirmaspor20111:3-21
    19Hatayspor20022:5-30
    20Adana Demirspor20112:5-3-5

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation