Result
2:0
24/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (398/451) | 80% (260/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (398/451) | 80% (260/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (34/54) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (111/140) | 61% (53/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Soukou C. 🟨,
- 14', Yumlu M. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kocaturk Y. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
- 50', Goksu S. 🟨,
- 62', Yildirim O. 🟨,
- 63', Tozlu E. (Pen),
- 66', 1 - 0, Fettahoglu M. ⚽,
- 70', Soukou C. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
- 71', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
- 73', Ovacikli O. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
- 73', Keser B. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
- 73', Crociata G. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
- 76', Djokanovic A. ↓, Saitoglu Y. ↑,
- 79', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 0, Sylla C. ⚽, Baiye B. (A),
- 85', Rodriguez M. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
- 90+1', Sylla C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ekincier B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Erzurumspor
64.9% | Draw
22.1% | Umraniyespor
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.49) |
4.2 ↑
(4.02) |
7.34 ↑
(6.42) |
7.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1.
- Erzurumspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Umraniyespor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Erzurumspor is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A.
(Inactive)
Kilinc K.
(Inactive)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Benny
(Red Card)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Umraniyespor?
Erzurumspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Erzurumspor?
Umraniyespor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
04.05.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Umraniyespor
2:0
05.01.2025
Umraniyespor
-
Erzurumspor
0:0
05.05.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Erzurumspor
2:0
20.12.2023
Erzurumspor
-
Umraniyespor
1:1
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Pendikspor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Vanspor FK | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:40 | -36 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
