Erzurumspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum).

1. Lig - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.58	0.30
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
88% (398/451)	80% (260/324)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58	0.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.54	0.17
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
0	2
Shots inside the Box
11	1
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
37	2
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
88% (398/451)	80% (260/324)
Long passes
63% (34/54)	51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
79% (111/140)	61% (53/87)
Crosses
36% (9/25)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.72	0.17
Throw-ins
25	17
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
75% (9/12)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
36	42
Clearances
12	34
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.17	2.54
Goals prevented
0.17	0.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Soukou C. 🟨,
14', Yumlu M. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kocaturk Y. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
50', Goksu S. 🟨,
62', Yildirim O. 🟨,
63', Tozlu E. (Pen),
66', 1 - 0, Fettahoglu M. ⚽,
70', Soukou C. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
71', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
73', Ovacikli O. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
73', Keser B. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
73', Crociata G. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
76', Djokanovic A. ↓, Saitoglu Y. ↑,
79', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Sylla C. ⚽, Baiye B. (A),
85', Rodriguez M. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
90+1', Sylla C. 🟨,
90+4', Ekincier B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Erzurumspor
64.9%

Draw
22.1%

Umraniyespor
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

23.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

22.5%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)	4.2 ↑ (4.02)	7.34 ↑ (6.42)	7.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1.
Erzurumspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Umraniyespor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Erzurumspor is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A. (Inactive) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive)
There will not play in Umraniyespor: Benny (Red Card)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Umraniyespor?

Erzurumspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Erzurumspor?

Umraniyespor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:

04.05.2025 Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor 2:0

05.01.2025 Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor 0:0

05.05.2024 Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor 2:0

20.12.2023 Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor 1:1

Latest results of Erzurumspor

18.10.2025 Manisa FK - Erzurumspor 1:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Erzurumspor - Vanspor 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor 1:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Adana Demirspor - Erzurumspor 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Umraniyespor

17.10.2025 Umraniyespor - Sarıyer 1:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Umraniyespor - Çorum 1:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Boluspor - Umraniyespor 0:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Umraniyespor - Igdirspor 0:1 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	28	17	9	2	60:19	41	60
2	Erokspor	28	17	8	3	67:22	45	59
3	Amedspor	28	16	7	5	58:32	26	55
4	Corum	28	15	5	8	44:31	13	50
5	Bodrumspor	28	14	6	8	58:29	29	48
6	Pendikspor	28	13	9	6	43:22	21	48
7	Igdir FK	28	12	8	8	38:37	1	44
8	Bandirmaspor	28	12	6	10	40:32	8	42
9	Keciorengucu	28	10	10	8	53:36	17	40
10	Manisa FK	28	11	7	10	42:41	1	40
11	Boluspor	28	11	5	12	47:40	7	38
12	Vanspor FK	28	10	8	10	39:32	7	38
13	Sivasspor	28	9	11	8	36:29	7	38
14	Istanbulspor AS	28	9	11	8	37:41	-4	38
15	Sariyer	28	10	5	13	30:35	-5	35
16	Umraniyespor	28	9	5	14	33:38	-5	32
17	Serik Spor	28	8	5	15	29:54	-25	29
18	Sakaryaspor	28	6	7	15	34:52	-18	25
19	Hatayspor	28	0	7	21	20:77	-57	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	28	0	3	25	16:125	-109	-39

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to