Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 9
- Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/377) | 74% (230/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/377) | 74% (230/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (45/75) | 57% (49/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Bikoue 🟨,
- 35', Oulare N. 🟨,
- 45', Akgun S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Akgun S. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Crociata G. (A),
- 61', Ozcan M. ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
- 66', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Orbanic M. (Own goal),
- 73', Traore A. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
- 74', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 75', Yumlu M. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,
- 80', Jefferson 🟨,
- 83', Kara B. C. ↓, Bilal H. ↑,
- 88', Bilal H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Keser B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Destici S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Erzurumspor
51.2% | Draw
29% | Vanspor
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Erzurumspor - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.68) |
3.18 ↓
(3.52) |
4.73 ↓
(4.91) |
4.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Vanspor?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- Erzurumspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vanspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Erzurumspor is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Karaca A.
(Inactive)
Kilinc K.
(Inactive)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vanspor: Beler M.
(Inactive)
Coksu M.
(Inactive)
Olmez S.
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Vanspor?
Erzurumspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Erzurumspor?
Vanspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Vanspor were as follows:
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24:8 | 16 | 20 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:11 | 16 | 19 |
| 3 | Pendikspor | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Corum | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Igdir FK | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Amedspor | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Erzurumspor | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 16:9 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Vanspor FK | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Serik Spor | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 12 |
| 13 | Istanbulspor AS | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Sakaryaspor | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9:25 | -16 | 3 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4:34 | -30 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
