Result
0:3
28/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 28
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (422/504) | 74% (241/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (422/504) | 74% (241/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 41% (26/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (108/152) | 60% (46/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 78% (25/32) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Ozcan M. 🟨,
- 10', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
- 33', Hostikka S. 🟨,
- 40', Korkmaz O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 52', 0 - 1, Fettahoglu M. ⚽, Tozlu E. (A),
- 57', Destici S. ↓, Isciler B. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 2, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Tozlu E. (A),
- 72', Akgun S. ↓, Keser B. ↑,
- 79', Traore A. ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
- 79', Bars E. ↓, Xesc ↑,
- 83', Rodriguez M. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
- 83', Tozlu E. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
- 83', Yumlu M. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 3, Kirtay Y. ⚽,
- 90+4', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,
- 90+4', Crociata G. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vanspor
28.5% | Draw
29.4% | Erzurumspor
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)The ML Model estimate for Vanspor aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Vanspor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(3.15) |
3.14 ↓
(3.18) |
2.18 ↓
(2.25) |
8.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vanspor - Erzurumspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vanspor: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Vanspor (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
- Vanspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Erzurumspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Vanspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Erzurumspor might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Yigit E.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Vanspor: Oulare N.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vanspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Erzurumspor?
Vanspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Vanspor?
Erzurumspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vanspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
04.10.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Vanspor
1:1
Latest results of Vanspor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
