Result
3:0
14/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Dedes V. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Justinussen A. ⚽, Mouritz M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 3 - 0, Jalaei S. ⚽,
- 61', Kallsberg P. ↓, Sulemana H. ↑,
- 66', Troelsen A. ↓, Tjornelund P. ↑,
- 66', Maden M. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 66', Lucena J. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 74', Justinussen A. ↓, Opoku S. ↑,
- 78', Ankersen J. ↓, Strandby N. ↑,
- 78', Buus J. ↓, Larsen E. ↑,
- 84', Jalaei S. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
- 84', Schmidt N. ↓, Alicino A. ↑,
- 84', Allen C. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hillerød
60.4% | Draw
21.7% | Esbjerg
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hillerød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hillerød's performance.Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esbjerg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hillerød that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esbjerg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hillerød - Esbjerg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.19) |
6.29 ↑
(3.83) |
8.1 ↑
(2.9) |
-23.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hillerød - Esbjerg?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Esbjerg will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ))
- In recent matches, Hillerød has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Esbjerg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Hillerød may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Hillerød won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against Esbjerg?
Hillerød has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Hillerød?
Esbjerg has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hillerød - Esbjerg were as follows:
24.11.2024
Hillerød
-
Esbjerg
1:2
29.09.2024
Esbjerg
-
Hillerød
1:1
Latest results of Hillerød
Latest results of Esbjerg
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Hillerod | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30:26 | 4 | 33 |
| 3 | Hvidovre IF | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 28:22 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Horsens | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | B.93 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23:33 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Hobro | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19:29 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Koge | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 19 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19:37 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
