Result
2:2
15/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 21
- Referee: Andersen N. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 3.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (182/266) | 85% (416/487) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 3.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (182/266) | 85% (416/487) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/54) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/104) | 76% (99/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Mouritz M. (Own goal),
- 29', Enghardt K. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Renecke W. ⚽, Lausen A. (A),
- 41', Heiselberg F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Enghardt K. ↓, Kallsberg P. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Arndal T. ⚽,
- 61', From L. ↓, Strandby N. ↑,
- 64', Mouritz M. ↓, Kucukylidiz B. ↑,
- 64', Arndal-Lauritzen G. ↓, Julo M. ↑,
- 73', Arndal T. ↓, Kretzschmar N. ↑,
- 78', Jalaei S. ↓, Sulemana H. ↑,
- 78', Bjur P. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 85', Renecke W. 🟨,
- 87', Tjornelund P. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
- 88', Maden M. ↓, Hvidt B. ↑,
- 88', Brajanac M. ↓, Sonderskov A. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 2, Kucukylidiz B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+4', Witt J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Strandby N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Esbjerg
42.2% | Draw
26.8% | Hillerød
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Esbjerg - Hillerød Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.4) |
3.48 ↑
(3.36) |
2.99 ↑
(2.75) |
7.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Esbjerg - Hillerød?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Esbjerg will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Hillerød will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Esbjerg: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Esbjerg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hillerød (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- Esbjerg is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
- Esbjerg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Hillerød has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Esbjerg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Hillerød?
Esbjerg has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against Esbjerg?
Hillerød has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esbjerg - Hillerød were as follows:
14.09.2025
Hillerød
-
Esbjerg
3:0
24.11.2024
Hillerød
-
Esbjerg
1:2
29.09.2024
Esbjerg
-
Hillerød
1:1
Latest results of Esbjerg
Latest results of Hillerød
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 42 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 33:29 | 4 | 37 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Horsens | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | B.93 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Hobro | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Koge | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
