Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 10
- Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 0.68 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
82% (297/363) | 81% (384/475) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 0.68 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.47 | 0.08 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
7 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
82% (297/363) | 81% (384/475) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (20/52) | 39% (26/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (62/96) | 54% (59/110) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (9/18) | 22% (6/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.61 | 0.51 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
43 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.08 | 1.47 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.08 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Sene F. ⚽, Milicevic I. (A),
- 28', Olsen P. 🟨,
- 45+2', Tjornelund P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Bjur P. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
- 61', Maden M. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 70', Herdonsson A. ↓, Lusavec K. ↑,
- 70', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
- 70', Sene F. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
- 74', Ouorou Y. 🟨,
- 74', Lausen A. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
- 80', Hausner S. ↓, Kolskogen O. ↑,
- 80', Saine A. ↓, Doua S. ↑,
- 87', Buus J. ↓, Larsen E. ↑,
- 87', Strand S. ↓, Blicher N. ↑,
- 90+3', Olsen P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Horsens 54.7% | Draw 25.5% | Esbjerg 19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsens's performance.Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esbjerg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esbjerg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Horsens - Esbjerg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↓ (1.97) |
3.93 ↑ (3.64) |
5.26 ↑ (3.59) |
0.2% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Horsens - Esbjerg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Horsens will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 4.
- Horsens has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Esbjerg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Esbjerg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Horsens is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Esbjerg?
Horsens has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Horsens?
Esbjerg has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - Esbjerg were as follows:
03.05.2025
Esbjerg
-
Horsens
0:1
18.04.2025
Horsens
-
Esbjerg
3:2
14.03.2025
Horsens
-
Esbjerg
2:1
04.08.2024
Esbjerg
-
Horsens
0:1
Latest results of Horsens
Latest results of Esbjerg
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Hillerod | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 23 |
2 | Lyngby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Horsens | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Hvidovre IF | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Kolding IF | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Aalborg | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 17 |
7 | B.93 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
8 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 16 |
9 | Esbjerg | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Hobro | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
11 | Koge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
12 | Middelfart | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )