Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 10
- Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (297/363) | 81% (384/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (297/363) | 81% (384/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 39% (26/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (62/96) | 54% (59/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Sene F. ⚽, Milicevic I. (A),
- 28', Olsen P. 🟨,
- 45+2', Tjornelund P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Bjur P. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
- 61', Maden M. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 70', Herdonsson A. ↓, Lusavec K. ↑,
- 70', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
- 70', Sene F. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
- 74', Ouorou Y. 🟨,
- 74', Lausen A. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
- 80', Hausner S. ↓, Kolskogen O. ↑,
- 80', Saine A. ↓, Doua S. ↑,
- 87', Buus J. ↓, Larsen E. ↑,
- 87', Strand S. ↓, Blicher N. ↑,
- 90+3', Olsen P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Horsens
54.7% | Draw
25.5% | Esbjerg
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsens's performance.Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esbjerg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esbjerg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Horsens - Esbjerg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.97) |
3.93 ↑
(3.64) |
5.26 ↑
(3.59) |
0.2%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Horsens - Esbjerg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Horsens will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 4.
- Horsens has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Esbjerg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Esbjerg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Horsens is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Esbjerg?
Horsens has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Horsens?
Esbjerg has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - Esbjerg were as follows:
03.05.2025
Esbjerg
-
Horsens
0:1
18.04.2025
Horsens
-
Esbjerg
3:2
14.03.2025
Horsens
-
Esbjerg
2:1
04.08.2024
Esbjerg
-
Horsens
0:1
Latest results of Horsens
Latest results of Esbjerg
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:18 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Lyngby | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Horsens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | B.93 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | Koge | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15:27 | -12 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
