Horsens vs Esbjerg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division Horsens - Esbjerg
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 10
  • Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.68
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
82% (297/363)81% (384/475)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.08
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
71
Free Kicks
89
Passes
82% (297/363)81% (384/475)
Long passes
38% (20/52)39% (26/67)
Passes in final third
65% (62/96)54% (59/110)
Crosses
50% (9/18)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.51
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
98
Tackles
70% (7/10)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
4317
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.081.47
Goals prevented
0.080.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Sene F. , Milicevic I. (A),
  • 28', Olsen P. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Tjornelund P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Bjur P. , Lucena J. ,
  • 61', Maden M. , Kolawole J. ,
  • 70', Herdonsson A. , Lusavec K. ,
  • 70', Kirkegaard K. , Ouorou Y. ,
  • 70', Sene F. , Baturina R. ,
  • 74', Ouorou Y. 🟨,
  • 74', Lausen A. , Ankersen J. ,
  • 80', Hausner S. , Kolskogen O. ,
  • 80', Saine A. , Doua S. ,
  • 87', Buus J. , Larsen E. ,
  • 87', Strand S. , Blicher N. ,
  • 90+3', Olsen P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Horsens
54.7%
Draw
25.5%
Esbjerg
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 25.9% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.9% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsens's performance.
  • Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esbjerg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esbjerg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Horsens - Esbjerg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.97)
    3.93
    (3.64)
    5.26
    (3.59)
    0.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Horsens - Esbjerg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Horsens will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 4.
    • Horsens has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Esbjerg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Esbjerg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Horsens is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - Esbjerg were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Esbjerg - Horsens 0:1
    18.04.2025 Horsens - Esbjerg 3:2
    14.03.2025 Horsens - Esbjerg 2:1
    04.08.2024 Esbjerg - Horsens 0:1
    Latest results of Horsens
    13.09.2025 HB Køge - Horsens 1:0
    04.09.2025 Horsens - Viborg 0:1
    31.08.2025 Horsens - B.93 Copenhagen 1:2
    23.08.2025 Lyngby BK - Horsens 0:0
    20.08.2025 Hobro - Horsens 0:1
    Latest results of Esbjerg
    14.09.2025 Hillerød - Esbjerg 3:0
    10.09.2025 Vejgaard - Esbjerg 1:2
    01.09.2025 Esbjerg - HB Køge 3:2
    24.08.2025 Hobro - Esbjerg 2:0
    19.08.2025 Esbjerg - Aalborg BK 1:0
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hillerod1272320:16423
    2Lyngby1163222:111121
    3Horsens1254313:9419
    4Hvidovre IF1154215:12319
    5Kolding IF1253416:13318
    6Aalborg1252520:15517
    7B.931252515:19-417
    8Aarhus Fremad1244421:16516
    9Esbjerg1251614:17-316
    10Hobro1225513:21-811
    11Koge1231812:23-1110
    12Middelfart1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )